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Paul Douglas
January 1
Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI)

Winter Struggling With El Nino Signal

The next 3 weeks are (historically) the coldest of the year and we will see 20s by late next week with a few single digit lows. Models print out 1-2" snow Friday into Sunday, but next week's big snowstorm will probably track south of Minnesota. We'll get the cold - and ice will (finally) form on area lakes. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 31, 2023
Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI)

It Will Actually Feel Like January Next Week

Temperatures run 5-10F above average this week but a shot of colder air arrives next week with a few days in the teens; nights near 0F. ECMWF ensemble models predict a few subzero nights around January 20-22, with highs topping 40F again in late January and early February. Weather models hint at snow early next week, but latest runs keep the heaviest amounts south of Minnesota. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 30, 2023
Saturday Night Snow - Quieter For New Year's Celebrations

Saturday Night Snow - Quieter For New Year's Celebrations

We should wake up Sunday to 0.5-1.5" of new snow in the metro from a clipper passing through Saturday Night. Otherwise, clouds will slowly decrease on Sunday with quiet weather to welcome in 2024. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 29, 2023
Snow Expected Saturday Night For The Metro

Snow Expected Saturday Night For The Metro

While the skies will be cloudy Saturday in the metro, a clipper will be moving into northern Minnesota that will spread snow into the metro during the evening hours. This will push out early Sunday, leaving 0.5-1.5" of snow across northern/eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 28, 2023
Sunny Skies For Friday - Watching For Some Clipper Snow Saturday Night

Sunny Skies For Friday - Watching For Some Clipper Snow Saturday Night

While it'll be a sunny Friday for the metro, we are watching a clipper system that'll bring snow to northern Minnesota Saturday afternoon and into the metro Saturday Night. However, weather looks fine for the Vikings game (or to celebrate the New Year) Sunday Night. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 27, 2023
Mostly Cloudy Thursday - Warmest December On Record Possible

Mostly Cloudy Thursday - Warmest December On Record Possible

Mostly quiet weather is expected through the end of 2023, with just a few flurries possible late Saturday/Saturday Night. Highs are in the 30s through Saturday, with upper 20s for the last day of the year. We're on tap for the warmest December on record. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 26, 2023
2nd Wettest Christmas Eve to Christmas Day on Record at MSP

Record Warmth Reported December 24-25

The occluded (temporarily stalled) storm responsible for our Christmas soaking may rotate a few hours of light snow into the area today; a little slush north/west of MSP? Another clipper may coat a few lawns late Saturday. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 25, 2023
Temps well above average in Twin Cities this week

Temps well above average in Twin Cities this week

Tuesday
Paul Douglas
December 24, 2023
Wettest Christmas Eve & Days on Record at MSP

Rain And Record Warmth On Christmas Day

It's rare for late December, but unseasonably mild air is getting tangled up in a low pressure system loitering over Iowa, keeping most of the state all-rain today and Tuesday, tapering to showers Wednesday. A little slush and ice western counties, with over a foot for parts of South Dakota. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 23, 2023
Tracking Santa

1-2" Rain May Fall Today Into Wednesday

Santa is packing his waders and Rudolph's red nose will be able to cut through the fog, mist and rain. Hey, is that sleigh lightning-proof? A Christmas Soaker! Wow. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 22, 2023
Cloudy Saturday - Record High Possible Christmas Eve With Rain Into Christmas Day

Cloudy Saturday - Record High Possible Christmas Eve With Rain Into Christmas Day

There won't be travel issues besides clouds and fog on Saturday as highs climb to near 50F in the metro. Rainy weather moves in for Christmas Eve with record highs. While it'll be cooler for Christmas, I think we'll see all rain. After that... maybe some mixed precip. Tuesday/Wednesday? - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 21, 2023
Warm Extended Holiday Weekend With Rain For Christmas

Warm Extended Holiday Weekend With Rain For Christmas

Want a white Christmas? Sorry, not this year, at least across much of Minnesota. Cloudy conditions are expected through the holiday weekend, with rain for the metro Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Record highs are even possible Sunday. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 20, 2023
Cloudy Through The Holiday Weekend - Rain For Christmas

Cloudy Through The Holiday Weekend - Rain For Christmas

The odds of a white Christmas go down each and every day right now. In fact, it looks like we'll see rain move in as we head into Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Until then, no travel issues with mainly cloudy skies Thursday through Saturday. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 19, 2023
AAA 2023 Year-End Holiday Travel Forecast

Christmas Eve Rain - Slushy Next Week?

A little drizzle may fall Friday morning, but most of the rain comes Christmas Eve into Christmas Day. Even a rumble of thunder? 50F is possible Christmas Eve (old MSP record is 46). I see consistent 40s into next Monday, followed by a cooling trend. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 18, 2023
Snowiest Start to any Winter on Record in Anchorage, AK

Soaking Rain For Christmas This Year?

It was surreal watching a nor'easter grind up the east coast with no snow. All rain (and coastal flooding). We may see significant rain here on Christmas Day, possibly ending as a little slush one week from today. Getting home after Christmas may be a bit sloppy. Stay tuned for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 17, 2023
Chilly, Sunny Monday - Warming Back Up Later This Week

Chilly, Sunny Monday - Warming Back Up Later This Week

You'll wake up to a fresh coating of snow Monday morning, so there could be trouble spots for the morning commute. Highs will be around average in the mid-20s Monday - but they'll only stick around for a day with 30s and 40s returning for the rest of the week. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 16, 2023
Mostly Cloudy Sunday With Nighttime Snow Chances

Mostly Cloudy Sunday With Nighttime Snow Chances

While skies will be mostly cloudy in the metro during the daytime hours Sunday, a system will bring the chance for some quick-hitting snow Sunday evening with flurries continuing overnight. Snow totals will be on the lighter side. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 15, 2023

Twin Cities Rain Through Midday Saturday - A Inch Or Two Of Snow North Of The Metro

Rain showers will continue in the metro through midday Saturday, with the highest chance of 1"+ of snow across central Minnesota from Brainerd to Duluth. Calmer, yet windy, weather is expected Sunday. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 14, 2023

Rain Moves In Friday - Watching Snow Potential Friday Night into Early Saturday

We are tracking a system as we head into Friday and Saturday that'll first bring some rain to the metro, but then it could turn a touch snowy by Saturday morning. Click for more details! - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 13, 2023

Warm, Sunny Thursday - Searching For Snow Miser

A few rain showers are possible late Friday in the metro, maybe bringing a tenth of an inch or so of liquid, with a rain/snow mix up north. After that, back to more of the same: mainly quiet December weather for the metro. - D.J. Kayser
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Forecasts, current conditions and breaking weather news for the Twin Cities, Minnesota, the Upper Midwest and the United States.