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Paul Douglas
October 31, 2021
Halloween Weekend

Dark Days But No Wintry Smacks

Winter is still largely AWOL east of the Rockies. In fact this is as cold as it's going to be anytime soon. Big, sloppy storms detour well south of Minnesota, while a temperate Pacific flow dominates. Models hint at 60F early next week and NOAA's GFS guidance shows a few 50s into the third week of November. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
October 30, 2021
Northern Lights From Iceland October 12th, 2021

Remembering A Very Extreme Winter Storm

Today feels like September with an outside shot at 60F in the metro later on. Halloween will feel like late October, with scrappy clouds and a chilly breeze, with Trick or Treat temperatures in the low 40s, so extra layers make sense. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
October 28, 2021
Postcard Pretty

Drying Out With a Fine Fall Weekend - Slushy Possibilities Emerge Next Week

Winter has been delayed by a few weeks, but it's still coming, and Old Man Winter may fire a first shot across the bow the latter half of next week with enough cold air in place for flurries by midweek. No Halloween blizzards this time around, but by next week there will be no doubt in your mind that it's November.
Paul Douglas
October 24, 2021
Quiet, Sunny Monday - Heavy Rain Expected Mid-Week

Quiet, Sunny Monday - Heavy Rain Expected Mid-Week

Fairly nice weather is expected Monday, with mainly sunny skies and highs within a few degrees of average. We're still watching rain chances as we head into the mid-week time frame, with the potential of over one inch of rain for some. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
October 23, 2021
Showers Across Southern Minnesota Sunday - Better Rain Chance Mid-Week

Showers Across Southern Minnesota Sunday - Better Rain Chance Mid-Week

A system to our south will help bring some showers across southern Minnesota Sunday, but rain chances remain highest south of the metro. A better rain chance statewide will arrive toward the middle of the week. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
October 22, 2021
Near 50F This Week - Sunny Saturday, Wetter Sunday

Near 50F This Week - Sunny Saturday, Wetter Sunday

Another nice autumn day awaits on Saturday as highs climb to around 50F with mainly sunny skies. Some rain will be possible for the second half of the weekend. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
October 21, 2021
Frost On The Pumpkin - Cool Smack But No Arctic Punches In Sight

Frost On The Pumpkin - Cool Smack But No Arctic Punches In Sight

If you have some plants you want to keep around a little longer consider covering them up, bringing them indoors, or writing them off until spring of '22, because most of Minnesota will experience a frost/freeze this morning, again Saturday morning, before temperatures moderate again next week. The drought continues to ease, with more rain in the forecast. Temperatures moderate a bit next week - relative warmth forecast to spill into early November.
Paul Douglas
October 18, 2021
Warm Tuesday - Cooler Weather To End The Week

Warm Tuesday - Cooler Weather To End The Week

Another warm autumn day is expected Tuesday before a mid-week system brings rain and cooler air. Highs will be closer to average in the low to mid-50s from Thursday through the weekend. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
October 17, 2021
Mild Autumn Weather To Begin The Week

Mild Autumn Weather To Begin The Week

Milder fall weather returns for the beginning of the week, with highs in the 70s Monday and Tuesday. A rainy system Wednesday helps drive cooler air back in late this week into the weekend and potentially the first frost of the season for the metro. Click for more - D.J. Kayser
Regional Weather
October 16, 2021
Minnesota Landscape Arboretum

Mild & Sunny Sunshine. Picture Perfect For October

Our picture perfect October weekend continues. If yesterday wasn't good enough, today will be even better! Highs across the state will warm to nearly 10 degree above average levels with bright sunshine and near peak fall color. Enjoy! Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
October 14, 2021
Cool Crisp Sunshine With Slow Warming Trend Into Monday

Cool Crisp Sunshine With Slow Warming Trend Into Monday

It's been so mild for so long that "average temperatures" are now described as a "cold front". That's where we are. A steady breeze should reduce the risk of a frost or freeze for much of central and southern Minnesota, and a rerun of southerly winds should mean daytime highs close to 70F Sunday and Monday before another inevitable cooling trend next week. The pattern isn't ripe for big storms anytime soon.
Paul Douglas
October 10, 2021
Mainly Cloudy Monday - Strong Storm System Mid-Week

Mainly Cloudy Monday - Strong Storm System Mid-Week

Skies across the metro will be mainly cloudy Monday as we watch a system pass off to our east. We're keeping our eyes on a wet, windy system for mid-week. - D.J. Kayser
Regional Weather
October 9, 2021
Sunrise on Saturday, October 9th, 2021

A Long Slow Slide Into Autumn This Year

Instability showers linger today and although the brunt of Monday's rain stays over Wisconsin, we may be brushed by a shower. Wednesday's storm may spark gusts as high as 40-50 mph, with a quick slug of heavy rain. It will feel like October by late week, with a shower spilling into Saturday, Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
October 8, 2021
Partly Sunny Saturday As Highs Climb Near 80F - Storms Saturday Night Into Sunday

Partly Sunny Saturday As Highs Climb Near 80F - Storms Saturday Night Into Sunday

We'll see partly sunny skies on Saturday as highs climb up to near 80F - potentially our last 80F of the year! After that, storms will move in Saturday Night into Sunday, some of which could be severe. A couple more rain chances are in the forecast next week. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
October 7, 2021
Mainly Dry Friday, But There Are Several Rain Chances In The Extended Outlook

Mainly Dry Friday, But There Are Several Rain Chances In The Extended Outlook

While drought did decrease some across the state over the past week, we could still use some rain to keep chipping away at it before winter arrives. I've got several rain chances in the forecast as well as the potential last shot at 80F on Saturday for the Twin Cities. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
October 6, 2021
Weather Bliss

Supersized Warmth in October - Trending Wetter Into the Weekend

It's hard to become too indignant about our recent run of (bliss-worthy) weather with 70s and 80s extending into October. We're still in a serious drought, so weekend puddles will be welcome, in spite of sub-optimal timing. We are due for a few free lawn-waterings.
Regional Weather
October 3, 2021
October 2020

Warm & Sunny Stretch First Full Week of October

Low to mid 70s prevail all this week. Atlantic moisture reaches Minnesota Thursday with showers. I see a conga-line of heavier rain storms by mid-month and highs in the 50s within 2 weeks. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Regional Weather
October 2, 2021
MN Duck Hunting

Mild & Dry Stretch of Weather Continues

Yesterday's heavy showers push east today and the sun should pop out - temperatures close to 60F for the start of today's Twin Cities Marathon. A streak of sunny 70s are on tap into at least Wednesday, before an odd holding pattern squirts moisture from the east coast into Minnesota, increasing the chance of showers by late week. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Regional Weather
October 1, 2021
Sunrise on Friday

Silver Linings In A Warming World?

Today looks wetter than earlier thought with steady rain, as a slow moving disturbance passes overhead. We are stuck in a drought, so no whining about weekend puddles. The sun peeks out Sunday and more 70s arrive next week with a weather pattern resembling early September, not early October. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
September 30, 2021
Delayed Autumn: 80F on October 1 - Low 70s Expected First Week of October

Delayed Autumn: 80F on October 1 - Low 70s Expected First Week of October

It's been a very warm year (summer at MSP was 3.9F warmer than average - nationwide summer tied 1936 for the hottest on record, according to NOAA). So maybe it makes sense that a "cool front" in 2021 means 70s for highs. Winter is coming - but no time soon.

Paul Douglas weather

Weather forecasts and musings from Star Tribune meteorologist Paul Douglas.