Low prices at the gas pump have put a persistent squeeze on Midwest ethanol producers, but most are staying profitable.
Of eight Minnesota-affiliated ethanol producers tracked by the Star Tribune, all but one made money in the third quarter, although not like the high profits of 2014.
"The Midwest ethanol industry is healthy," said Ron Monson, vice president for agribusiness capital at AgStar Financial Services in Apple Valley. "Plants have been able to make money and operate in the environment we have today."
Low gasoline prices pinch ethanol producers because they sell into the same fuel market. The result is thinner operating margins at ethanol plants, a condition that could persist for 12 to 18 months, according an ethanol industry analysis by the national cooperative bank CoBank.
Valero Energy, the San Antonio-based owner of Minnesota's largest ethanol plant in the city of Welcome, said its companywide ethanol margins fell by more than half — from $1 a gallon in third quarter 2014 to 47 cents in the same period this year.
"There is just so much oil, and oil refiners have been producing a tremendous amount of gasoline and that has weighed on the gas price," said Brian Milne, energy editor for Schneider Electric, whose DTN service tracks farm and fuel commodities.
Ethanol sold for more than $2 per gallon on the commodities market during much of 2014. Lately, the front-month contract has been below $1.50 per gallon. Ethanol is blended into gasoline at a rate of 10 percent or more at the pump.
Lower third-quarter revenue
On average, Minnesota-affiliated ethanol refiners reported a 26 percent drop in revenue in the third quarter, which ends in July for most smaller companies and in September for large, multistate producers. The newspaper tracked publicly reported results for companies that own seven of Minnesota's 21 ethanol plants and two Minnesota companies that own plants in North Dakota and South Dakota.