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Writers pick Buckeyes to win Big Ten football; Gophers near bottom

 

 

Ohio State is the preseason pick to win the Big Ten football championship in 2018 – but by only one vote Wisconsin.

In a preseason poll of 28 sportswriters around the Big Ten conducted by cleveland.com, Ohio State received 14 votes to win the title, with Wisconsin just behind at 13. Michigan State received the other first-place vote. In last year’s Big Ten title game, the Buckeyes beat the Badgers 27-21.

The poll of sportswriters is in its eighth season after the Big Ten stopped using its own vote of media members. Instead, the conference will release a list of players to watch during Big Ten media days on Monday and Tuesday in Chicago.

Sportswriters also predicted the order of finish in the East and West divisions, with Ohio State and Wisconsin advancing to the Big Ten title game. Writers predicted that the Gophers will finish sixth in the West.

Penn State quarterback Trace McSorley edged Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor for Big Ten Preseason Offensive Player of the Year, while Ohio State defensive end Nick Bosa was an overwhelming choice for Preseason Defensive Player of the Year.

Here are results of the poll, with a first-place vote in the conference standing predictions counting for seven points and a seventh-place vote counting for one point:

Big Ten East

1. Ohio State, 191.5 points (23.5 first-place votes)

2. Michigan State, 142 points (2)

3. Penn State, 141.5 points (1)

4. Michigan, 140.5 points (1.5)

5. Maryland, 75.5 points

6. Indiana, 60 points

7. Rutgers, 33 points

Big Ten West

1. Wisconsin, 196 points (28 first-place votes)

2. Iowa, 155 points

3. Northwestern, 138 points

4. Nebraska, 104 points

5. Purdue, 98.5 points

6. Minnesota, 64.5 points

7. Illinois, 28 points

Big Ten Championship Game predictions

Ohio State over Wisconsin (14 votes)

Wisconsin over Ohio State (9)

Wisconsin over Michigan (2)

Wisconsin over Penn State (1)

Wisconsin over Michigan State (1)

Michigan State over Wisconsin (1)

Big Ten teams advancing to the College Football Playoff

Ohio State (13)

Wisconsin (12)

Both Ohio State and Wisconsin (2)

Michigan State (1)

Preseason Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year

1. Trace McSorley, Penn State QB, 66 points, (14 first-place votes)

2. Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin RB, 61 points, (11)

3. JK Dobbins, Ohio State RB, 28 points, (2)

4. Brian Lewerke, Michigan State QB, 7 points, (1)

5. Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State QB, 3 points

6. Noah Fant, Iowa TE, 2 points

7. Shea Patterson, Michigan QB, 1 point

Preseason Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year

1. Nick Bosa, Ohio State DE, 74 points, (20 first-place votes)

2. Rashan Gary, Michigan DE, 38 points, (6)

3. T.J. Edwards, Wisconsin LB, 24 points

4. Devin Bush, Michigan LB, 14 points (1)

5. Paddy Fisher, Northwestern LB, 8 points (1)

6. Joe Bachie, Michigan State LB, 5 points

7. Chase Winovich, Michigan DE, 2 points

8. D'Cota Dixon, Wisconsin S, 1 point

8. Olive Sagapolu, Wisconsin DT, 1 points

8. Khaleke Hudson, Michigan LB, 1 point

Breaking down the Gophers' opponents: Miami (Ohio)

College football is just around the corner -- we’re less than six weeks away from the Gophers’ season opener on Aug. 30. So, with that in mind, I’ll take a look at Minnesota’s 12 opponents by asking five questions to a beat writer covering that team. Today’s installment is Game 3, Miami (Ohio).

Opponent: Miami (Ohio)

When, where: Sept. 15, 2:30 p.m., TCF Bank Stadium. TV: BTN

2017 record: 5-7, 4-4 Mid-American Conference

Opponent’s beat writer: David Clark, Cincinnati Enquirer

Five Questions for David Clark on Miami of Ohio

1. Miami returns eight starters on both offense and defense. How much optimism is there for the RedHawks entering the season after last year’s 5-7 finish?

There's optimism particularly about some of Miami's offensive weapons, but there was optimism entering last season as well (MU was expected to contend for a MAC East title) before the team ultimately disappointed. Receiver James Gardner gives them good reason to be optimistic after 927 yards and 11 touchdowns last season. Gardner was first-team all-conference and is considered an NFL draft prospect. Gus Ragland is an experienced starting quarterback who has shown flashes of brilliance and strong ability to improvise/scramble. Running backs Kenny Young and Alonzo Smith bring additional excitement to the offense. 

Miami's experience at offensive line also gives the RedHawks a great reason to like their chances -- with five returning starters led by left tackle Jordan Rigg and center Danny Godlevske, who was named to the Rimington Spring Watch List.

There's also experience throughout Miami's defensive line and linebackers -- led by leading tackler Brad Koenig. There's less experience, however, in MU's secondary.

2. The RedHawks struggled in tight games last year, going 0-5 in games decided by one possession. What is the key to reversing that trend?

Decision-making and execution. Ragland has looked very sharp at times and in 2016-17 returned from injury with MU 0-6 and sparked an improbable winning streak and bowl appearance (and the RedHawks actually should have beaten Mississippi State in their bowl game but lost by a point). MU became the first team in FBS history to start the regular season 0–6 and finish the regular season at 6–6, largely because of Ragland's 17 touchdown passes and only one interception. But Ragland's magic touch was less consistent last season, and perhaps the most heartbreaking of the five games MU lost by one possession was a 21-17 loss to Cincinnati. It's a nonconference regional rivalry played annually that dates to 1888, and Miami looked finally ready to beat Cincinnati -- after 11 straight losses in the rivalry -- leading 17-6 in the fourth quarter and 17-14 with less than 3 minutes left. But an ill-advised return out of the end zone put MU at its own 5, and three plays later, Ragland threw a pick-six with 1:42 left. The RedHawks will benefit from sound execution late in games to reverse the trend.

3. Will Ragland keep the starting quarterback job over Michigan graduate transfer Alex Malzone?

I'd have to think it's Ragland's job as long as he stays healthy and doesn't struggle. I guess you never know. Someone must've encouraged Malzone that MU would be a great opportunity for him to engage in healthy competition. But Ragland has a lot of experience despite injuries and has endeared himself to fans by bouncing back from injuries, including an ACL. I'd be surprised if he's benched, barring a very slow start to the season.

4. The RedHawks will beat Minnesota if ... 

The experienced offensive line consistently wins its battles, creating opportunities for Young, Smith and Ragland to run and for Ragland to get the ball to Gardner. That said, it's tough to love the RedHawks' chances given their recent track record against the Big Ten and/or ranked teams: a 52-17 loss at No. 22 Notre Dame last season; a 45-21 loss at No. 17 Iowa in 2016; a 58-0 loss at Wisconsin in 2015; a 34-10 loss at Michigan in 2014; a 50-14 loss at Illinois in 2013; a 56-10 loss at Ohio State in 2012, etc. 

5. Minnesota will beat the RedHawks if ... 

The Golden Gophers can take advantage of a less experienced Miami secondary. The RedHawks will have a tough time replacing Tony Reid and Heath Harding. Harding was among the MAC's top defensive players and signed a free-agent deal with the Atlanta Falcons just after the draft. In addition, if Minnesota can neutralize the MU rushing attack and focus on shutting down Gardner, there's not much experience in the receiving corps beyond Gardner.

Looking for more on the upcoming college football season? Check out some previous posts:

http://www.startribune.com/breaking-down-the-gophers-opponents-fresno-state/488624451/

http://www.startribune.com/breaking-down-the-gophers-opponents-new-mexico-state/488507281/

http://www.startribune.com/looking-ahead-five-players-to-watch-on-the-gophers-nonconference-schedule/485168071/

http://www.startribune.com/outside-looking-in-college-football-s-best-from-non-power-five-conferences/486154041/

http://www.startribune.com/sudden-impact-gophers-true-freshmen-who-could-play-get-a-look-this-fall/486273921/

http://www.startribune.com/looking-ahead-the-best-and-worst-of-nonconference-matchups-in-the-big-ten-west/485253121/

http://www.startribune.com/looking-ahead-the-best-and-worst-nonconference-matchups-in-the-big-ten-east/485374001/

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