In a fit of what he now calls "supreme optimism and entrepreneurial hubris," ThreeWire Inc. founder Mark Summers told the Star Tribune in 2003 that his company would quadruple sales and nearly triple employment in 2004, thanks to a novel approach for recruiting patients for drug and medical device clinical trials.
It's a strategy that grew out of his original business model, which used radio, print and online promotions to market clients' drugs and medical devices directly to patients.
Alas, not only did the new strategy not develop as he'd predicted, but a client that accounted for most of the Eden Prairie company's 2003 sales of $2 million went away.
"And ThreeWire almost went, too," acknowledged Summers, 52. "The fact was, the market was in no way ready for our message," and the company was in no financial shape to promote the new business.
The numbing result: 2004 sales plunged nearly 75 percent, to $550,000.
But enough with the somber news. The fact is, the market finally got the message in 2005 and sales have grown significantly, albeit not to the $10 million level that Summers was projecting for 2004 or the $75 million goal he set for 2008.
In 2007, ThreeWire's revenues reached $6.5 million and are on track to approach $10 million this year. And employment, which stood at 17 when Summers made his rash predictions, has reached 67.
Which is not bad, considering that the compound annual growth rate in sales since 2003 approaches 35 percent despite that 2004 fiasco.