Paul Douglas
Drought Slightly Improves In Western, Southern MN - Dry Through The Weekend
A drier stretch of weather continues into the weekend with our next chance of wet weather in the metro holding off until early next week. Temperatures warm into the 80s Friday and Saturday before falling back to the 70s Sunday. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
Comfortably Quiet Into the Weekend - Rainy Blocking Pattern 2 Weeks Out??
It's hard to get too indignant about lukewarm sunshine, although I have to catch myself some days. We are still running a long term rainfall deficit (still down 4-6" - more up north) so a 5-day soaking rain event would look wonderful right about now. I don't see that looking into next week, but long range models are hinting at a rainy blocking pattern by the end of September.
Paul Douglas
Last Day of the MN State Fair
At least the holiday weather has been a breath of fresh, sun-kissed perfection. What a stretch. And today is the icing on the atmospheric cake, with enough sun for 80 degrees, with a few thunderstorms rumbling into town tonight. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
Nice Labor Day Weekend Continues Sunday - Rain Chance Monday Night
Our beautiful Labor Day weekend weather will continue on Sunday in the Twin Cities with mainly sunny skies and highs in the mid-70s. Nice weather continues into Labor Day Monday. The next rain chance in the Twin Cities doesn't move in until Monday Night and Tuesday. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
Mid-70s And Sunshine For Labor Day Weekend
For once, an extended holiday forecast doesn't come with rain chances! It looks like we should see fairly sunny skies Saturday through Labor Day Monday with highs in the mid-70s. Our next rain chance moves in Monday Night and early Tuesday. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
Drought Eases Slightly - Nicer Than Average Holiday Weekend Weather
So I think we may just have this weather-thing down: schedule rain for weekdays (preferably at night) and save the sunshine for weekends, especially holiday weekends. Then everyone is happy, right? Right? Sorry - still can't hear you. A damp Friday should give way to ample quantities of blue sky Saturday into Labor Day.
Paul Douglas
It's Official: We Dented The Drought
A dry, comfortable sky lingers into Wednesday with daytime highs near 80F and comfortable dew points in the 50s. We tangle with bands of showers and T-storms Thursday, again early next week - each puff of progressively cooler air preceded by puddles. ECMWF predicts highs in the 60s next week. Savor lukewarm this week. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
Hurricane Ida A Major Threat To Louisiana
Major Hurricane Ida make a landfall PM Sunday along the Gulf Coast. Closer to home, today will be dry and siren-free with lower humidity and a few sunny peeks. A sunny, quiet start to the week gives rise to another surge of T-storms Thursday into Saturday, and sweatshirts may return by Labor Day up north.
Regional Weather
Thunderstorms May Turn Severe Later Saturday
Another half inch of rain may fall today, and an "enhanced risk" of severe storms implies large hail and damaging winds. Meanwhile Hurricane Ida could become a major category 4 storm before landfall with 140mph winds somewhere along the Louisiana Coast. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
A Month's Worth of Rain Next 36 Hours?
A nearly stationary frontal boundary acts as a thunder-magnet into Saturday night. ECMWF (European model) prints out 3-6 inches and a few spots may see 8 inches. Flash flooding is possible in some towns. Check the blog for more details.
Paul Douglas
Multiple Rounds of Heavy Thunderstorms Next 60 Hours - Potential For Another 1-3"
It's weird keeping the Doppler plugged in for extended periods of time. For most of the summer it was Palm Springs with Lakes: day after day of hot sunshine, strong winds, occasional smoke - a few fires upwind. More heavy thunderstorms are expected between now and Saturday night, putting another big dent in the worst drought since 1988. Many of us will pick up 1-3" of rain by late Saturday night (most of closer to 1-2" I suspect). Now that it's almost Labor Day, now we get the downpours we should have seen back in June.
Paul Douglas
Nearing 90F Monday, But Cooler By The State Fair - Strong Storms Possible Tuesday
It's going to be a warm start to the work week in the Twin Cities, with highs approaching 90F under sunny skies. Storms will be possible Monday Night. More storms are possible Tuesday, some of which could be strong. Click for more on the weather for the work week as well as the fires up north. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
Sunny Sunday With Overnight Storms - Update On Northern Minnesota Fires
Sunny skies are expected Sunday in the Twin Cities, with the potential of storms overnight. Some of the storms west of the metro could be strong. I also have an update on the northern Minnesota fires, including the now closure of the BWCA. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
Mostly Dry Weekend - Highs Below Average Saturday
Daylight hours will stay dry this weekend with lots of sun in the Twin Cities. Highs today climb into the 70s with breezy west winds before returning to the low 80s Sunday. Our next rain chance moves in Sunday Night with a few strong storms possible. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
Drought Comparisons to 1988 As Strong T-storms Arrive Later Today
Our historic drought continues to deepen, and estimates are it will take 8-9" of rain over the span of many months to pull out of this gaping rainfall deficit. Stating the obvious: any rain at this point is good news for soil moisture and lowering the wildfire threat across the state. One such rain event is shaping up tonight as we chip away at what is turning into the worst statewide drought since 1988
Paul Douglas
Quiet Start To The Week - Rain Possible Late Week
Quiet weather continues through mid-week with increasing humidity and highs near 90F Tuesday and Wednesday. A late week cold front will bring the potential for showers and thunderstorms as well as cooler weather. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
Humidity Creeps Back In - Dry Through Tuesday
Quiet weather continues to dominate the weather maps here in the Twin Cities the next few days. It will feel slightly more humid out there as dew points climb back into the 50s and eventually the 60s. Our next rain chance arrives mid-to-late week. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
Quiet and Pleasant Weekend Ahead
It'll be a pleasant weekend across the metro with mainly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid-80s. Dew points will be in the comfortable range Saturday in the low 50s, but the humidity will start to increase Sunday.
Paul Douglas
Another Long Stretch of Dry, Sunny Weather
Another stretch of dry and sunny weather is expected over the next several day. Next best chance of rain moves in by the middle part of next week. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
Forecast Calls For Shooting Stars
I see a run of 80s right into the first week of the Minnesota State Fair. Not many 90s;the core of the heatwave remains south of hurricane-free Minnesota. Oh, Tropical Storm "Fred" will spark flooding in Florida this weekend. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas weather
Weather forecasts and musings from Star Tribune meteorologist Paul Douglas.
