A decade ago, American conservatism was riding high — so much so that two British journalists from the Economist published a book in 2004 titled "The Right Nation: Conservative Power in America." It chronicled the rise of "the most powerful and effective political movement of our age."
George W. Bush won a second term in the White House that year. Republicans retained control of both houses of Congress. Here in liberal Minnesota, GOP Gov. Tim Pawlenty was earning his reputation as the state's most conservative chief executive since the 1920s.
Almost everywhere, conservative ideas seemed to be advancing. "[W]elfare is gone," the authors of "The Right Nation" marveled; "the death penalty is deeply rooted; abortion is under siege; regulations are being rolled back; [and] the pillars of New Deal liberalism are turning to sand."
Well, times change. For all of the Obama presidency's problems, today it's the foundations of the conservative movement that look a touch wobbly. Pundits now are competing to diagnose what's gone wrong with the "right nation," debating the true meaning of conservatism and handicapping an expected internal showdown this year — in Republican primaries across the country — between mainstream conservatives and Tea Party militants.
In part, of course, what went wrong is simply that stuff went wrong. America's post-9/11 struggle against Middle East extremism turned difficult and divisive, and the economy suffered a severe crash and prolonged funk. And even though Obama and company are by now saddled with considerable ownership of those lingering problems, the problems by their nature erode the credibility of conservatism, a philosophy long identified with big-stick foreign policy and faith in the boundless buoyancy of capitalism.
These stresses also did a lot to break internal divisions among conservatives wide open. That rupture ought to concern anyone who thinks America needs some clear and constructive opposition to balance modern trends toward hyperindividualism on the one hand and overconfident government on the other.
Divisions on the right are nothing new. Conservatism is a delicate sauce, easily separated.
Conservatives tend to worry about the rise of "hyphenated Americans": Asian- and African- and Mexican-Americans, etc. But hyphenated conservatives with mixed loyalties have long been plentiful. We've had social-conservatives and fiscal-conservatives, neo-conservatives and compassionate-conservatives, Christian- and establishment- and constitutional-conservatives.