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Over the last 70 days, Americans have heard this word repeated over and over again: mandate. Following Donald Trump and JD Vance’s decisive victory that secured their control of the White House and Republicans further entrenching their majorities in the House and the Senate, leaders from the Grand Old Party are uniting under one clear message: The American people have given them a mandate with their victories. It’s an idea we heard a lot about, too, on Inauguration Day.
Many along party lines will debate whether such a mandate was handed down in November, but its existence is a reality that cannot be denied. What happened on Election Day was no accident. And contrary to partisan beliefs, this was not a mandate handed down by the old guard, but rather a collective majority of Americans from all walks of life.
In the run-up to Election Day, we saw the stories about the Harris/Walz campaign canceling ads in Wisconsin to try and shore up the vote in Philadelphia, where rumors of blue-collar workers and Black men shifting toward Trump grew by the day. We saw the early exit polls of Trump doubling his support among Black voters in Wisconsin, but the shifts don’t end there.
While Trump remained pretty even in his support among men, Vice President Kamala Harris saw her support among women decrease by one to four points compared to Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, respectively. The biggest shift came as it pertained to race and age. While Harris managed to win over Black men and women by a significant margin nationally, that margin shrank considerably since Clinton lost in 2016. The number of Black men voting for Trump increased from just 13% in 2016 to 21% in 2024, according to CNN exit polls. And while Clinton earned 94% of Black women’s vote in exit polls, Biden and Harris lost significant ground to the tune of four and five points, respectively.
Democrats also lost ground with Latinos and young voters. Trump won the support of Latino men by 10 points, compared with Clinton’s 31-point victory among this group just eight years prior. As for Latina women, Harris and the Democrats cut their lead by more than half. Similarly, Republicans also cut Democrats’ popularity with younger voters by half, with Harris having only an 11% margin among 18- to 29-year-olds, a significant downswing from the 24- and 19-point victories Biden and Clinton earned, respectively among that demographic.
Even Minnesota, a haven for Democratic presidential candidates that not even Ronald Reagan’s 49-state victory could crack, was not immune from the voter swing — even with a buffalo-plaid-wearing Gov. Tim Walz on the ticket. Trump managed to increase his popular vote share in 84 of the state’s 87 counties and flipped four more counties — Blue Earth County, Carlton County, Nicollet County and Winona County — from blue to red. Harris also lost support among Somali Americans, with reports indicating a 14-, 12- and 9-point drop in the Cedar-Riverside, W. Lake Street and Seward neighborhood precincts. This is unsurprising considering the number of Somali leaders who attended Trump’s rally in St. Cloud and endorsed him at the State Capitol before Election Day.