Sir John Chilcot has some bad news for the many Britons pining for the day Tony Blair will be tried for war crimes. The former prime minister didn't lie the U.K. into the Iraq war.
This is the clear conclusion of a sweeping inquiry into the war released Wednesday by Chilcot's committee, a report that took longer to produce than the British military involvement in Iraq. The closest Chilcot comes to criticizing Blair's use of the intelligence produced by his government is that he at times didn't express the full nuance and uncertainty contained in those reports. But Blair's statements about Iraq's chemical, biological and nuclear weapons programs were consistent with what the professional analysts, spies and military officers were telling him.
"It is now clear that policy on Iraq was made on the basis of flawed intelligence and assessments," Chilcot said in a statement. "They were not challenged and they should have been."
In this one sentence Chilcot has obliterated a genre of Iraq war literature. Remember that for the "Bush Lied, People Died" crowd, Blair and U.S. President George W. Bush pressured analysts and manipulated intelligence to get the war they wanted. Instead, Chilcot said that Blair should have been more skeptical of intelligence on Iraq's weapons programs. And yet you still see this kind of claim all the time.
On the U.S. side, the notion of cynical Bush administration information manipulation should have been put to rest years ago. As two reports from the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence made clear, the U.S. intelligence community — with a few dissenting agencies — agreed that Iraqi strongman Saddam Hussein was hiding chemical, biological and even nuclear weapons programs.
Chilcot's report, though, includes so much detail on the British side, it's worth recapping some of his findings.
Let's start with a Feb. 27, 2002, assessment from the Joint Intelligence Committee, the panel that oversees intelligence products for the U.K. government. It says: "Iraq also continues with its chemical and biological warfare (CBW) programmes and, if it has not already done so, could produce significant quantities of BW agent within days and CW agents within weeks of a decision to do so." On nuclear, that assessment said Iraq continued a program to develop a weapon, though it was at best five years away from producing a warhead.
These judgments, it should be said, were in keeping with British and U.S. intelligence assessments for years. Chilcot's report concludes: