Vikings' 2021 success hinges on QB play — but not their own

At this point, we know what to expect from Kirk Cousins. We have no idea what to expect from other quarterbacks in the NFC North.

July 7, 2021 at 2:35PM
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers skipped Green Bay’s mandatory minicamp last month amid reports that he doesn’t want to return to the Packers. (Mike Roemer, Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Kirk Cousins has been healthy for every game of the last six NFL seasons, making 95 starts in that span and playing in all but one regular-season game except the 2019 finale, when he rested with the Vikings having nothing on the line.

There is variation in his play from game to game and sometimes series to series, but at the end of the year you pretty much know what to expect from a veteran QB like Cousins at this point: something like his six-year average of 4,268 yards, 29 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.

On Wednesday's Daily Delivery podcast, Chip Scoggins and I took a look at three big questions hanging over Minnesota sports heading into the late summer and fall. At the top of that list, followed by the success of Gophers football and what the Twins will do at the trade deadline, was the make-or-break year being faced by the Vikings.

What makes this upcoming season particularly fascinating is that it has a high level of volatility. But I think most of that volatility comes from outside the Vikings and not from within.

We know what the Vikings are under Cousins and more importantly under Mike Zimmer: a team that wants to control the ball, play efficiently and win with a stout defense. They got away from that formula last season with injuries and questionable roster decisions decimating the defense. But they've reloaded the defense this season while keeping the offense largely intact. They have an identity and will try to win with it.

What we don't know is what to expect from the rest of the NFC North, particularly at the all-important quarterback position.

The Packers and Aaron Rodgers of course top that list. Playing in a celebrity golf match on Tuesday, Rodgers again gave a cryptic "We'll see" answer when asked about his future with Green Bay. If he doesn't play for the Packers in 2021, the entire dynamic of the division race changes.

The Bears? They could be formidable if rookie Justin Fields takes control of the starting job early. If he's not ready, and Andy Dalton starts a bunch of games, Chicago feels like (at best) an 8-9 team.

Even the Lions, after trading Matthew Stafford and adding Jared Goff, are unpredictable.

That's 35% of the Vikings' schedule. The volatility of QBs in the division could be the difference between Minnesota going 8-9 (or worse) and 10-7 (or better), which in turn could be the difference between the franchise staying the course or going a whole new direction.

about the writer

about the writer

Michael Rand

Columnist / Reporter

Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

See Moreicon

More from No Section

See More
FILE -- A rent deposit slot at an apartment complex in Tucker, Ga., on July 21, 2020. As an eviction crisis has seemed increasingly likely this summer, everyone in the housing market has made the same plea to Washington: Send money — lots of it — that would keep renters in their homes and landlords afloat. (Melissa Golden/The New York Times) ORG XMIT: XNYT58
Melissa Golden/The New York Times

It’s too soon to tell how much the immigration crackdown is to blame.