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Donald Trump is doing his “Apprentice” thing and publicly auditioning candidates for vice president. One exception: Nikki Haley is nowhere to be found. No sooner did Axios report that Haley was being considered than Trump issued a personal statement this weekend that she’s out of the running. Trump at least said he wishes her well, but rejecting her doesn’t solve his main campaign problem of appealing to Haley voters.
Vice presidents are rarely decisive in presidential elections, but they can matter for governing and the country’s future. This year the VP choice may matter more than usual on all of those counts. If Trump wins he’d be an immediate lame duck who can serve only one term. He turns 78 in June, and he’d be the second-oldest president after the current one.
Mike Pence was an excellent choice in 2016 as an experienced, steady hand who also reassured social conservatives. He helped to populate the first Trump administration with talented policy experts. On Jan. 6, he stood up to Trump’s bullying and put the Constitution ahead of his own ambition.
Trump needs a comparably reassuring choice this year to win over the suburban, college-educated and women voters who cost him re-election in 2020. They’re still giving Haley upwards of 20% in the GOP primaries, though she long ago ended her campaign.
Haley ought to be in the VP mix given her strong primary performance. She outlasted everyone but Trump and did well in debates. She has foreign-policy experience and was a two-term governor of South Carolina. She’d provide a notable contrast in competence and charisma to Vice President Kamala Harris.
The conventional wisdom is that Trump can’t accept someone with strong views of her own, which would rule out Haley. That’s probably the safest bet, and Haley hasn’t endorsed him. But choosing a strong woman would be surprising enough that it might cause skeptical swing voters to take another look at the former president. The MAGA diehards would howl, but they aren’t going to stay home or vote for President Joe Biden.