The number of ballot challenges in the U.S. Senate recount surged again on Monday, passing 3,000 overall and clouding the question of who's picking up ground in the hotly contested race.
More than 78 percent of the votes had been recounted as of Monday night, and Republican Sen. Norm Coleman's advantage over DFLer Al Franken stood at 210, according to a Star Tribune compilation of results reported to the secretary of state and gathered by the newspaper. Before the recount, Coleman led Franken by 215 votes out of about 2.9 million cast, a margin that has fluctuated over the past week.
Each candidate's vote total has fallen by more than 1,100 since the recount began, and the bulk of the drop apparently is the result of ballot challenges by the other side, which may or may not be upheld by the state Canvassing Board next month. Each campaign has challenged more than 1,500 ballots.
According to a Star Tribune analysis, Franken has made a net gain on Coleman of 46 votes that are not tied to ballot challenges. The analysis looked at votes that each candidate has added or lost during the recount in precincts where challenges do not account for them.
As the recount entered its second week, the two campaigns continued their rhetorical to-and-fro, while some tempers flared, ballots went missing and some counters wrapped up work.
The recount, closely followed nationwide because it is key to the partisan makeup of the Senate next year, also is being handicapped far from Minnesota. Nate Silver, a statistician who gained widespread attention for the accuracy of his predictions about the presidential race, has weighed in several times.
On Sunday, he published on his fivethirtyeight.com website a statistical analysis of the numbers reported so far and concluded that as the number of challenges has increased, Franken has had a harder time gaining on Coleman. Even so, he projected, once the challenges are resolved next month by the Canvassing Board, that Franken would come out ahead by 27 votes. A GOP blogger denounced Silver's work, noting that Silver used to contribute to DailyKos, a well-known liberal blog, and mentioning Silver's support of Barack Obama.
Wearing two hats