Each Saturday morning during the NFL season, we'll wake up early, take a hearty cut at predicting the unpredictable league, wince at how it went the week before and ponder the definition of insanity.
OK, we lied. Last Saturday, some of us were hoofing it around Hazeltine National Golf Club covering the Ryder Cup instead of flailing away at trying to predict the NFL. It was a fun journey that taught me at least two things:
1, All athletes and coaches should spend an hour drinking before doing post-game press conferences. They're a whole lot more fun and even funnier.
2, You can't lose an NFL pick if you don't make all the NFL picks. So Week 4 will go down as the week this guy went undefeated. I picked the Vikings to treat Eli like they always do while beating him. And I didn't pick the other games. 1 and 0, baby.
As for Week 3, well ….
I just circled back to those picks and realized it's time to stop picking the Browns to upset anyone with a pulse. I went 6-9 straight-up and 4-11 versus the spread. No money was lost, however, cuz only people rich and/or stupid bet on the NFL.
Week 4 and the first game of Week 5 on Thursday have left the NFL with 11 teams at 1-3 and one team at 1-4. That's a lot of bad teams chasing the Browns for the first pick in the draft and the rights to a quarterback who will fail miserably if sent to the Cleveland Front. But don't overestimate the Browns. As the only team still dead enough to be chasing the un-legendary 0-16 Lions, the Browns still have the inside track to the top of the draft.
At the other end of the league, the Broncos, Vikings and Eagles are the only undefeated teams. The Broncos have a first-year starting QB, the Eagles have a rookie starting QB and the Vikings have a guy who showed up from Philly eight days before the opener.