When a men's basketball program reaches the NCAA tournament for the second time in three years — and wins on that stage for the first time in six — that usually looks like a team on the rise.
But entering Tuesday's season opener against Cleveland State, the Gophers face more skeptics than believers on whether they can sustain that success this year.
Minnesota hasn't won an NCAA tournament game in back-to-back seasons for 30 years. It hasn't even reached the tournament in consecutive years for a decade.
The doubters over this team's chances have their ammo. There's no all-time leading rebounder like Jordan Murphy or high-scoring guard like Amir Coffey walking through the Barn doors. Murphy graduated, and Coffey left early for the NBA.
"I don't see Minnesota being anything other than a battle all year to try get to the middle section of the Big Ten," ESPN analyst Dan Dakich said.
Injuries have held coach Richard Pitino's teams back from reaching their potential in the past, and these Gophers already have suffered setbacks. Versatile big man Eric Curry is out for the season because of a torn anterior cruciate knee ligament, and top recruit Isaiah Ihnen has a wrist injury.
Beyond those setbacks, the Gophers were going to be relatively young and unproven anyway with eight freshmen and sophomores combined on their roster, including two starters.
All that explains why most preseason projections have the Gophers near the bottom of the Big Ten. Pitino could care less, though. He doesn't believe in bulletin-board material, but his team's goal remains the same: NCAA tournament or bust.