Johnny Love picks the Belmont Stakes

  • Article by: JOHNNY LOVE , Star Tribune handicapper
  • Updated: June 7, 2013 - 1:07 PM

This year's Belmont Stakes could be the most wide open in years with it's large field of 14 and the strong chance of rain in the forecast.

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Trainer Todd Pletcher and Revolutionary

Photo: Charlie Riedel, Associated Press - Ap

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This year's Belmont Stakes could be the most wide open in years with it's large field of 14 and the strong chance of rain in the forecast. Obviously, with the large group running today and the possibility of a sloppy course, this race definitely resembles more the Kentucky Derby than the Preakness Stakes.

This year's group includes several speed runners along with several closers who will attempt today's mile and a half distance for the first and probable last time of their racing careers. I think the two trophy winners, ORB and OXBOW are your main contenders but I'm having trouble in the trust factor with both.

Orb had his 5 win streak broke after a less than thrilling performance in the Preakness and his lone start at Belmont Park was a fourth place finish of 22 lengths behind. Oxbow is 0-8 when not getting the lead and he definitely won't get the snail pace dream trip he got in the Preakness with the speedsters in this field. I'm looking at rivals today who are well rested and can run a steady pace till the cows come home.

For wagering strategies I'm looking for a runner to key in my trifecta tickets who I think has the strongest chance of hitting the board spreading out around him.

Good luck and have fun.

REVOLUTIONARY is my key who ran third in the Kentucky Derby finishing well on the sloppy course after some traffic troubles. Trainer Pletcher skipped the Preakness to get ready for today's race, so should be fresh and ready with solid works entering. Another selling point is being reunited with jockey Javier Castellano, who won as a team in the two lone starts together in the Louisiana Derby and Withers Stakes.

OVERANALYZE is another Pletcher runner who won the Futurity at Belmont Park last September and should be well rested after finishing 11th in the Derby. Most interesting angle for me is his 8 race record of win-lost-win-lost-win-lost-win-lost-? Have to admit, hard to bet against with that pattern on the line. Pletcher's top jockey John Velazquez hops aboard who was the rider in the Futurity.

FREEDOM CHILD won the Peter Pan Stakes with a crushing 13 length victory setting quick fractions and drawing away from the field on a sloppy course at Belmont Park. With that race at 1 1/8 miles, the question is whether he'll have anything left in the tank to complete today's distance going gate-to-wire.

UNLIMITED BUDGET is the lone filly in the race and will have to step it up a notch in tackling the boys with Rosie Napravnik in the saddle. Won four consecutive before running third in the Kentucky Oaks after a bumpy start. Training well and did I mention another Pletcher horse.

GOLDEN SOUL ran second in the Derby at a huge price closing late in his career best race. Return off that effort makes him a contender but slight concern is a skipped workout and trainer saying his colt's appetite isn't where it should be.

Betting Strategy $1 Trifecta ( 9/ 2,3,5,7,13,14/ 2,3,5,7,12,13,14) (2,3,5,7,13,14/ 9 /2,3,5,7,12,13,14) (2,3,5,7,13,14/ 2,3,5,7,12,13,14 / 9) $36 each $108 Total.

Click here for the horses by post position.

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Kansas City 0 Top 1st Inning
San Francisco 0
Detroit 10/26/14 8:30 AM
Atlanta
Buffalo 10/26/14 12:00 PM
NY Jets
St. Louis 10/26/14 12:00 PM
Kansas City
Houston 10/26/14 12:00 PM
Tennessee
Minnesota 10/26/14 12:00 PM
Tampa Bay
Seattle 10/26/14 12:00 PM
Carolina
Baltimore 10/26/14 12:00 PM
Cincinnati
Miami 10/26/14 12:00 PM
Jacksonville
Chicago 10/26/14 12:00 PM
New England
Philadelphia 10/26/14 3:05 PM
Arizona
Oakland 10/26/14 3:25 PM
Cleveland
Indianapolis 10/26/14 3:25 PM
Pittsburgh
Green Bay 10/26/14 7:30 PM
New Orleans
Washington 10/27/14 7:30 PM
Dallas
New Orleans 10/30/14 7:25 PM
Carolina
Buffalo 2 FINAL
San Jose 1
Boston 1 2nd Prd
Toronto 0
NY Rangers 1 2nd Prd
Montreal 1
New Jersey 0 2nd Prd
Ottawa 0
Dallas 1 2nd Prd 18:01
NY Islanders 3
Detroit 1 2nd Prd 15:19
Philadelphia 0
Chicago 0 1st Prd 19:45
St. Louis 0
Pittsburgh 0 1st Prd 19:44
Nashville 0
Tampa Bay 0 1st Prd 20:00
Minnesota 0
Florida 8:00 PM
Arizona
Washington 9:00 PM
Calgary
So Florida 17 FINAL
Cincinnati 34
Troy 13 FINAL
South Alabama 27
BYU 30 FINAL
Boise State 55
(6) Oregon 59 FINAL
California 41
North Texas 21 FINAL
Rice 41
UAB 17 FINAL
Arkansas 45
Rutgers 24 FINAL
(16) Nebraska 42
Maryland 7 FINAL
Wisconsin 52
Texas 0 FINAL
(11) Kansas State 23
Minnesota 24 FINAL
Illinois 28
Memphis 48 FINAL
SMU 10
North Carolina 28 FINAL
Virginia 27
San Jose St 31 FINAL
Navy 41
Northern Ill 28 FINAL
Eastern Mich 17
(25) UCLA 40 FINAL
Colorado 37
Akron 21 FINAL
Ball State 35
Massachusetts 35 FINAL
Toledo 42
Ohio U 21 FINAL
Western Mich 42
Ga Southern 69 FINAL
Georgia State 31
Kent State 3 FINAL
Miami-Ohio 10
Oregon State 14 FINAL
Stanford 38
Fla Atlantic 16 FINAL
(23) Marshall 35
Louisiana Tech 31 FINAL
Southern Miss 20
(1) Miss State 45 FINAL
Kentucky 31
Georgia Tech 56 FINAL
Pittsburgh 28
(22) West Virginia 34 FINAL
Oklahoma State 10
Texas Tech 27 FINAL
(10) TCU 82
Michigan 11 FINAL
(8) Michigan State 35
Boston College 23 FINAL
Wake Forest 17
Central Mich 20 FINAL
Buffalo 14
Vanderbilt 14 FINAL
Missouri 24
Old Dominion 51 FINAL
Western Ky 66
UNLV 20 FINAL
Utah State 34
Temple 14 4th Qtr 12:20
UCF 34
(15) Arizona 31 3rd Qtr 14:52
Washington St 16
Texas-El Paso 14 2nd Qtr 5:10
TX-San Antonio 0
Wyoming 3 2nd Qtr 9:10
Colorado State 24
Syracuse 3 2nd Qtr 6:27
(21) Clemson 0
Texas State 0 2nd Qtr 5:00
ULM 13
(3) Ole Miss 6 1st Qtr 0:07
(24) LSU 0
(4) Alabama 13 1st Qtr 7:12
Tennessee 0
So Carolina 7 1st Qtr 2:05
(5) Auburn 0
(13) Ohio State 7:00 PM
Penn State
(20) USC 9:00 PM
(19) Utah
(14) Arizona State 9:45 PM
Washington
Nevada 10:59 PM
Hawaii
(2) Florida State 10/30/14 6:30 PM
Louisville
Troy 10/30/14 6:30 PM
Ga Southern
Cincinnati 10/31/14 7:00 PM
Tulane
Tulsa 10/31/14 7:00 PM
Memphis
Purdue 11/1/14 2:00 AM
(16) Nebraska
(17) Oklahoma 11/1/14 2:00 AM
Iowa State
Oklahoma State 11/1/14 2:00 AM
(11) Kansas State
(10) TCU 11/1/14 2:00 AM
(22) West Virginia
Texas 11/1/14 2:00 AM
Texas Tech
Northwestern 11/1/14 2:00 AM
Iowa
Maryland 11/1/14 2:00 AM
Penn State
Air Force 11/1/14 10:30 AM
Army
ULM 11/1/14 11:00 AM
Texas A&M
Duke 11/1/14 11:00 AM
Pittsburgh
Wisconsin 11/1/14 11:00 AM
Rutgers
Rice 11/1/14 11:00 AM
FIU
(18) East Carolina 11/1/14 11:00 AM
Temple
UCF 11/1/14 11:00 AM
Connecticut
Boston College 11/1/14 11:30 AM
Virginia Tech
North Carolina 11/1/14 11:30 AM
Miami-Florida
Washington 11/1/14 12:00 PM
Colorado
Central Mich 11/1/14 12:00 PM
Eastern Mich
Western Mich 11/1/14 1:30 PM
Miami-Ohio
Western Ky 11/1/14 2:00 PM
Louisiana Tech
NC State 11/1/14 2:00 PM
Syracuse
Texas State 11/1/14 2:00 PM
New Mexico St
Virginia 11/1/14 2:30 PM
Georgia Tech
BYU 11/1/14 2:30 PM
Middle Tennessee
Indiana 11/1/14 2:30 PM
Michigan
Florida 11/1/14 2:30 PM
(9) Georgia
Georgia State 11/1/14 2:30 PM
Appalachian St
Kentucky 11/1/14 3:00 PM
Missouri
Kansas 11/1/14 3:00 PM
(12) Baylor
Houston 11/1/14 3:00 PM
So Florida
(20) USC 11/1/14 3:30 PM
Washington St
Arkansas State 11/1/14 4:00 PM
Idaho
South Alabama 11/1/14 4:00 PM
Louisiana
New Mexico 11/1/14 4:30 PM
UNLV
UAB 11/1/14 6:00 PM
Fla Atlantic
(5) Auburn 11/1/14 6:00 PM
(3) Ole Miss
Arkansas 11/1/14 6:00 PM
(1) Miss State
Old Dominion 11/1/14 6:00 PM
Vanderbilt
Colorado State 11/1/14 6:00 PM
San Jose St
Stanford 11/1/14 6:30 PM
(6) Oregon
Tennessee 11/1/14 6:30 PM
So Carolina
Southern Miss 11/1/14 7:00 PM
Texas-El Paso
(7) Notre Dame 11/1/14 7:00 PM
Navy
Illinois 11/1/14 7:00 PM
(13) Ohio State
(15) Arizona 11/1/14 9:30 PM
(25) UCLA
California 11/1/14 9:30 PM
Oregon State
San Diego St 11/1/14 9:30 PM
Nevada
Wyoming 11/1/14 9:45 PM
Fresno State
(19) Utah 11/1/14 10:00 PM
(14) Arizona State
Utah State 11/1/14 10:00 PM
Hawaii
Los Angeles 0 FINAL
Seattle 2
D.C. 1 FINAL
Montreal 1
Toronto FC 0 1st Half 25:00
New England 0
Portland 7:30 PM
FC Dallas
Colorado 9:00 PM
Vancouver FC
Montreal 23 FINAL
Ottawa 17
Saskatchewan 27 FINAL
Calgary 40
Hamilton 24 FINAL
Toronto 26
Brt Columbia 7 6:15
Winnipeg 7
Hamilton 10/31/14 6:30 PM
Ottawa
Winnipeg 11/1/14 3:00 PM
Calgary
Brt Columbia 11/1/14 6:00 PM
Edmonton
Toronto 11/2/14 11:00 AM
Montreal

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