By HenryMargusityAccuWeather.com

AccuWeather.com has done extensive researchinto whether the weather is playing a role in the number of home runs at thenew Yankee Stadium. We have determined that this weekend's games with thePhillies will determine the outcome of this summer's home run derby at YankeeStadium because the forecast is for warm and a little more humid weather.Our findings show that the weather conditions at Yankee stadium oppose thenumber of home runs being hit at the stadium. Winds really have not been afactor, given that in most games, winds were not all that strong. In mostgames, winds were under 10 mph, and the direction of the wind was notconsistent with the right field home run theory.

In respect to the temperature and humidity, and the laws of baseball flight,the number of home runs should be down. The laws of baseball flight say that abaseball will fly a longer distance in air that is warm and humid. Air that iswarm and humid is considerably less dense than air that is cool and dry. Theresistance on a baseball is greater in dense air than less-dense air. Forexample, a typical warm and humid New York evening would generally mean abetter chance for home runs than, say, the cool evenings of April.Our findings have shown that the majority of games where home runs where hit,the temperatures were between 54 and 69 degrees. The few games where thetemperatures were in the 70s, the air was dry in those games. In all games, theair overall was dense compared to the warm, humid air that is yet to come.

We can only conclude from the weather data that the number of home runs shouldonly go up this summer. AccuWeather.com is already predictinghigher-than-normal humidity in the New York City area this summer, which meansthe home run derby should continue at Yankee Stadium.

The reason for the number of home runs at the new Yankee Stadium is still outfor debate, but one thing is sure, the weather may not be the entire factor.