Adding a new type of transit along the Riverview Corridor between downtown St. Paul and the Mall of America could cost hundreds of millions to well over a billion dollars, but the higher price tag options often come with higher ridership.
New projections give local officials multiple choices — light rail, different types of bus rapid transit, a streetcar or sticking with local bus service — along four different routes. But officials are still seeking more information for the complex project, which has at times drawn sharp neighborhood opposition.
They are expected to select the route and type of transit by the end of this summer. But whatever option they choose won't be up and running for a long time.
"Most of us might not be here when it's all said and done," Ramsey County Commissioner Rafael Ortega told about 80 people gathered for an information session on the line Wednesday night in Highland Park.
He said they are creating the line for their children and need to look at projected growth in the neighborhood. By 2040, there will be 32,000 new residents along the Riverview Corridor, he said.
Ortega is a member of the corridor's Policy Advisory Committee, which will review the projections in April, along with other criteria, like community and environmental impacts and safety.
The cost estimates, which do not count for inflation, show bus rapid transit is the cheaper option. But the average weekday ridership for the various routes would be 12,725 in 2040 if officials select that type of transit.
Light rail or streetcars, on the other hand, would cost roughly twice as much as bus rapid transit but would draw an average of 19,350 riders.