SAN JOSE, Calif. – That lottery fever that swept the country in anticipation of Saturday night's record $900 million Powerball drawing? Scientists have a name for it: dopamine.
It's the brain chemical associated with reward, pleasure and addiction. And it was digging into pockets at a maddening pace last week.
Thanks a lot, dopamine. Whether the jackpot is $8 million or $900 million, the odds of winning are stuck at a buzz-killing 1 in 292 million.
"I don't want to miss a big chance," said Javier Berec as he paid $10 for five tickets at Hana's Bottle Shop Liquors in Santa Clara, billed as a lucky retailer because it sold two $1 million tickets in 2011.
With $900 million up for grabs, it doesn't take a neuroscientist like Howard Fields to explain how people may have ignored probability this week because of the way the brain processes risk and reward.
"In the brain stem of a gambler, dopamine neurons are firing very high, pushing them to put out the money, to go and buy the ticket," said Fields, a neurology professor at the University of California, San Francisco. During pleasurable experiences, dopamine floods the brain and urges humans to repeat the behavior.
Overestimating rewards
But, Fields added, the brain tends to overestimate the possibility of reward.
If you program a computer to make the same calculations, it "would never do what a person does," Fields said. "It would say, OK, I'm not going to buy a ticket until I have at least a good chance of winning."