Private equity has a place at the table, and so do Oprah and Jay-Z. Food giants such as Nestlé are scrambling to get a foot in the door. There are implications for the climate. There are even geopolitical rumblings.
The unlikely focus of this excitement is Oatly, producer of a milk substitute made from oats that can be poured on cereal or foamed for a cappuccino. Oatly, a Swedish company, will sell shares to the public for the first time this week in an offering that could value it at $10 billion and exemplify the changes in consumer preferences that are reshaping the food business.
It is no longer enough for food to taste good and be healthy. More people want to make sure that their ketchup, cookies or mac and cheese are not helping to melt the polar ice caps.
Food production is a leading contributor to climate change, especially when animals are involved. (Cows belch methane, a potent greenhouse gas.) Milk substitutes made from soybeans, cashews, almonds, hazelnuts, hemp, rice and oats have proliferated in response to soaring demand.
"We have a bold vision for a food system that's better for people and the planet," Oatly declared in its prospectus for the offering. The company's shares are expected to start trading Thursday in New York.
To justify its frothy valuation, Oatly has to convince investors that it can dominate a market where there is already a lot of competition and where big food conglomerates are just beginning to deploy their formidable resources. Nestlé, the world's biggest producer of packaged food, unveiled its own milk alternative this month, made from peas.
Oatly cultivates an upstart image with packaging art and a logo that looks hand-drawn. It advertises that it is "like milk but made for humans." But the company is more than 25 years old and is backed by some serious money.
The majority shareholder is a partnership between an entity owned by the Chinese government and Verlinvest, a Belgian firm that invests some of the wealth of the families that control the Anheuser-Busch InBev beer empire. Blackstone, the giant private-equity firm, owns a little less than 8% of Oatly.