Great regular season carries little weight during playoffs

January 18, 2017 at 1:36AM
Chicago Blackhawks goalie Corey Crawford (50) and Trevor van Riemsdyk , center, look on as Minnesota Wild right wing Nino Niederreiter (22) and right wing Jason Pominville, right, celebrate after he scored the game winning goal during the third period of an NHL hockey game on Sunday, Jan. 15, 2017, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Matt Marton)
Chicago goalie Corey Crawford (50) and Trevor van Riemsdyk , center, looked on as Wild right wing Nino Niederreiter (22) and right wing Jason Pominville, right, celebrated after he scored the game winning goal Sunday in Chicago. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

We're more than halfway into a Wild season, and there have been no swoons, dips or slumps. Sure, there have been times when Minnesota hasn't been as dominant as it has been lately, but look at the first 43 games as a whole and you see this: the longest points-less streak for the Wild this season is two. And that happened just once, with back-to-back regulation losses to Buffalo and Colorado way back in early November.

Here it is mid-January and the Wild entered Tuesday with the most points in the Western Conference (62) while playing four fewer games (42 compared to 46) than the three teams closest to it in the standings. Minnesota was on pace for 119 points, which would easily be a franchise record.

That said, it was around this time last year (one week earlier) that Minnesota embarked on its epic losing skid that cost former head coach Mike Yeo his job. Similar skids in past seasons have made Wild fans very cautious.

Combine that with what happened to the Vikings this season — a 5-0 start that had people talking Super Bowl faded to an 8-8 finish — and there might be some reluctance as a fan to go "all-in" on the Wild.

To that end, I'd say this: Bruce Boudreau's bunch seems far more slump-proof than Yeo's teams ever did. It's particularly encouraging that even though Minnesota hasn't had the same fantastic goaltending lately that it was getting earlier this year from Devan Dubnyk, the wins and points are still coming because the offense has been clicking.

The Wild is likely bound to cool off a little, but it looks like a team that will sail through the regular season with one of the conference's best records. To that end: yes, buy into this team all the way.

The unfortunate part if you're a Wild fan this season is that the NHL playoffs are so volatile that a great regular season can be wiped out in a matter of days.

For example: look at the past five NHL seasons and teams that had dominant regular seasons (defined here by at least 110 points, or in the case of the shortened 2012-13 season teams that were on pace for 110 points when the 48-game season ended). There were 12 teams that fit the criteria.

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Of those 12, only one of them reached the Stanley Cup Finals (Chicago in 2012-13, which won the title). Two others reached the conference finals. Four of them were knocked out in the second round. And a whopping five of them were knocked out in the first round of the playoffs.

The Wild and new head coach Bruce Boudreau are both keenly aware of this. In 2013-14, the Wild knocked out Colorado (112 points) in the first round. In 2012-13, Boudreau's dominant Anaheim team (on pace for 113 points in the shortened season) was knocked out in the first round, while his dominant 2013-14 Ducks team (116 points) was bounced in the second round.

What does it all mean? The Wild has a team worthy of your total investment — as long as you keep the volatility of the NHL playoffs in proper perspective.

about the writer

about the writer

Michael Rand

Columnist / Reporter

Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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