MNsure has already exceeded last year's tally for sign-ups in private health plans, as more consumers faced with big premium jumps apparently are turning to the state's health insurance exchange for financial help.
On Monday, MNsure announced that 67,680 people had signed up for private coverage through the government-run marketplace during the current open enrollment period.
That's a much faster pace than last year, and suggests that MNsure might hit its current 2016 goal of 83,000 enrollees, a target that's far less than what supporters envisioned when the exchange was created in 2013.
"I think they have a good shot at it," said Chris Sloan, a manager at Avalere, a health care consulting firm in Washington, D.C. "Even if they don't quite get [to the goal], it still looks like it's going to be a big increase over last year."
Minnesota launched the MNsure health insurance exchange to implement the federal Affordable Care Act, which requires almost all Americans to have health insurance or pay a tax penalty.
It's an option for the roughly 300,000 state residents who purchase private health insurance on their own, outside of employer groups.
MNsure has repeatedly lowered its enrollment projections over the past two years, prompting Republicans to question whether MNsure is financially viable. A key source of revenue for the exchange is a 3.5 percent tax on premiums.
In the past, enrollment has fallen short of projections due in part to technical problems with the MNsure website, but also because the cost of private health insurance in Minnesota has been relatively low. That means fewer people here have qualified for federal tax credits that are a primary driver of traffic to MNsure and exchanges in other states.