Formal U.S. recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital has not spawned the intense violence from the Arab and Muslim street that was commonly predicted. But the question remains whether, as President Donald Trump's critics say, it will damage prospects for peace and forfeit America's status as an "honest broker."
Trump has declared that he is not only honoring a campaign promise and acknowledging an indisputable reality but also making peace likelier.
Who has the better argument on peace? The president does, though he didn't offer a persuasive case.
Actually, recognition of Israeli sovereignty over Jerusalem is unlikely to have a major effect on peace one way or the other. There has been no serious diplomacy for years — and the conflict is about much more than Jerusalem.
It's remarkable that so many commentators offer thoughts on how to promote peace without showing any understanding of why the parties are fighting. So, let's be clear on why there is an Arab-Jewish conflict over Palestine — and why it has lasted for more than a century.
At the heart of the matter is the conviction that all of Palestine, like all of the rest of the Middle East, belongs exclusively to the Arabs and that it is an unendurable and uncompromisable injustice for Jews to exercise sovereignty on Arab land.
Palestinian Authority schools teach that the ultimate goal of Arab control over all Arab land cannot be renounced without an unacceptable violation of honor. Tactically useful peace agreements may be permitted, but permanent peace with Israel is not. This is a philosophical point rooted in both religious and nationalistic principles that are widely held as sacred in the Palestinian community.
Part and parcel of such thinking is the depiction of Israel as a foreign intrusion into the region. It is called a "crusader state." The point is that the Israelis, like the Crusaders in the Middle Ages and the French a half-century ago, can be demoralized through relentless violent resistance and induced to pack up and leave the land to its true owners, the Arabs. It's a common refrain that 130 years had to pass before the French could be expelled from Algeria and 200 years were needed to drive the Crusaders out of the Holy Land; though it may take at least that long to get rid of Israel, the time will come.