Minnesota legislators are in their districts this holiday weekend, collecting advice about how to right the worst imbalance between revenues and expenditures seen on state balance sheets in modern times.
Today we add our counsel. The Star Tribune Editorial Board favors a mix of remedies, including significant spending cuts, tax increases and one-time money. We support shared sacrifice, but also urge setting priorities to position Minnesota for future prosperity. We ask that the one-time money in the next budget be viewed as bridge funding, to be spent restructuring government for a leaner tomorrow.
State receipts in the next two years are expected to fall $6.4 billion short of the amount needed to fund current-law obligations. That's a 20 percent fiscal gap that the Legislature is constitutionally obliged to close before July 1.
Fortunately, significant help is available from the federal government -- $2.6 billion. Minnesota should take full advantage of it. Of course, that help is temporary. It disappears on Jan. 1, 2011, before the next state biennium ends. That's why it's important for this Legislature to confront not only the remaining $3.8 billion deficit, but also the state's long-term financial condition.
A blue-ribbon panel earlier this year reported that a chronic imbalance exists between the taxes Minnesota collects and the cost of its programs. That imbalance accounts for as much as 40 percent of the deficit, said panel cochair Jay Kiedrowski, a former state finance commissioner.
Erase the deficit primarily with one-time money, as Gov. Tim Pawlenty proposes, and the built-in imbalance will only return with a vengeance in 2012-13.
One of Pawlenty's one-time money proposals is particularly objectionable. He would borrow $1 billion and pledge future state revenues to pay the debt service. That's like taking out a second mortgage to cover this year's mortgage payments. It pushes the problem ahead, and makes it worse when it recurs.
We prefer a larger dose of permanent fiscal medicine. Our plan includes about $1.4 billion in spending reductions and $1.5 billion in tax increases.