The clock will start ticking the moment that a winner is declared in Minnesota's historic 2010 governor's race. Once the balloons come down and the cheers go up on the night of Nov. 2, the winning candidate will have a scant three months to deliver a budget that not only tackles Minnesota's titanic deficit, but charts a sustainable course to the future, balancing expectations for economic growth and government services.
It's a complex assignment -- and voters deserve to know well in advance of Election Day how candidates will carry it out.
So far, there's been a disappointing dearth of detail. That's unacceptable given the gargantuan problem the new governor must grapple with: a budget deficit officially pegged at $5.8 billion over the next biennium. Making this year's spending cuts permanent, delaying repayment on the K-12 school aid shift and other whittling around edges could get that down to roughly $3 billion.
Budget proposals, directly from each candidate:
Mark Dayton
Tom Emmer
Matt Entenza
Tom Horner
Margaret Anderson Kelliher
But $3 billion is still an enormous sum. "All the easy things to cut have been cut. In fact, not only have the easy things been cut, some of the hard things to cut have been cut," said State Economist Tom Stinson.
Job One for voters is making sure that gubernatorial candidates truly understand the severity of the problem. And that they have a game plan voters can live with. Difficult choices lie ahead. Taxpayers are likely to pay more but get less. Any candidate who sugarcoats this, who says it's easy, that "finding efficiencies" is all that's needed to avoid cuts or tax increases, isn't being straight with the state. The same goes for anyone who claims that whacking welfare queens will suffice. The real money in state health and human services is spent on care for the elderly and the disabled.
Voters must demand more than rhetoric. Candidates who demonize big government should be called out. If the government needs to shrink, what programs will be cut? And by how much? And do those cuts balance the state's books?
If tax increases are in order, who, exactly, will pay more? A lot of Minnesotans, particularly couples with two incomes, might be surprised to find that some politicians consider them "rich." Do tax increases shouldered only by those with higher incomes raise the amount needed to bring order to the state's finances?