The recent article "How Minnesota got a handle on obesity" (Sept. 4) seemed like rare good news in the obesity crisis. A closer look, however, suggests that we shouldn't pat ourselves on our backs yet; we actually may not be any closer to touching our toes.
Start with the data: For this report, people were surveyed by phone about height, weight, activity level, diabetes, blood pressure, and consumption of fruits and vegetables. This required respondents to recall their health history over the last 30 days and to be truthful answering personal questions from a stranger.
But few people know their weight and height. Few remember their 30-day exercise history without tracking it. Many don't accurately recall the results of a checkup — or block it out. And many fudge about their health. The report noted as much in its disclaimer: "A number of studies have shown that rates of overweight and obesity are probably higher than shown by the data because people tend to underreport their weight and exaggerate their height."
Questionable data aside, there's an even more serious flaw in the report: It excludes overweight people.
If you had to read that again, it's no surprise. Almost two-thirds of American adults are classified as "overweight," "obese" or "severely obese." The largest subset, the "overweight" population, was excluded from the analysis.
When you look at overweight and obese Minnesotans, we don't look nearly so good. There's no statistically significant improvement in the percentage of those overweight and obese.
In other words, rather than good news, it's just as likely this study tells us that a few people who were considered very fat two years ago shifted — perhaps temporarily — into a category of moderately fat people. Assuming the data are good.
A victory lap might not be in order — even if we could make it.