Buried deep in Jeb Bush's tax plan is a 15-word bombshell that has gone largely unnoticed in the days since it was unveiled. The Republican presidential candidate proposes to eliminate the deduction that corporations take for interest expenses, thus closing off a tax break that saves U.S. companies billions of dollars a year.
This is huge. And while it has merit, it's also so disruptive to the way companies finance themselves that it could destroy value and, along the way, create unpredictable economic distortions. It could even result in less, not more, corporate investment — the opposite of what Bush thinks he's achieving.
Bush's plan will upset businesses that are highly leveraged, but he's right that the tax code should be more neutral. Currently, companies finance themselves by issuing stock or by borrowing, which can be via a bank loan or a bond issuance.
The tax code lets companies deduct the interest paid on debt. But equity is treated differently: Profits from equity investments are subject to the statutory 35 percent tax rate. And dividends paid to shareholders out of corporate earnings are taxed at 23.8 percent.
In a nutshell, this tax-code preference for debt over equity explains why companies prefer to issue bonds over selling shares.
Bush's tax blueprint merely says he will "remove the deduction for borrowing costs. That deduction encourages business models dependent on heavy debt." This could be a political expediency, one that allows his numbers to add up and avoid voter fallout.
Why? Bush would also lower corporate taxes to 20 percent and let companies immediately deduct the cost of capital investments, such as technology and new office buildings, instead of having to spread those costs over many years. If he didn't end the deduction for interest expense at the same time, he might be giving profitable companies deeply negative tax rates, meaning the IRS would be writing them fat checks.
But let's accept that he really does want to level the playing field between debt and equity. He joins many economists, including those at the International Monetary Fund, who decry the tax code's bias toward debt. They believe it has led to excessive borrowing, sometimes leaving companies no choice but to declare bankruptcy when they can't repay creditors in lean times. High borrowing rates led to the 2008 financial crisis and elongated the recovery.