Oscars 2019: Our predictions for Best Picture

We weigh in on which movie should win and which ones don't stand a chance.

January 23, 2019 at 5:00PM
Chadwick Boseman in the film, "Black Panther." (Matt Kennedy/Marvel Studios) ORG XMIT: 1222890
Chadwick Boseman in the film, “Black Panther.” (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Black Panther

The story: A warrior prince from an ancient, noble nation faces a life-or-death challenge to his birthright.

In its favor: A rousing story led by a powerhouse cast, with dazzling visuals and cultural heft. And has there ever been a prince more regal than Chadwick Boseman?

Then again: Ryan Coogler may have re-imagined the superhero movie, but it's still a superhero movie. Is the academy ready?

Our review: ★★★

BlacKkKlansman

The story: A black police officer finagles his way into the Ku Klux Klan in 1970s Colorado.

In its favor: A stranger-than-fiction tale that's Spike Lee at his most entertaining and (literally) hair-raising. The daring undercover operation feels genuinely treacherous and subversive.

Then again: The modern-day Charlottesville coda is pure Lee — a sledgehammer that feels unnecessary.

Our review: ★★★★

Bohemian Rhapsody

The story: The story of Queen from its formation to its epochal 1985 Live Aid performance.

In its favor: The music! If you love this band, the songs — and the stories behind them — will send you out of the theater grinning. That Rami Malek guy makes a pretty good Freddie Mercury, too.

Then again: It's a standard rock bio­pic that fudges the timeline and lays on the big moments pretty thick.

Our review: ★★½

The Favourite

The story: Two headstrong courtiers vie for the favor — er, the favour — of Queen Anne.

In its favor: The blackest of black comedies, it's a feverish funhouse of a movie — never boring, always bonkers. The shifting power dynamics are dizzying, and the barbs come at you like stilettos.

Then again: A lot of style over substance. Our loyalties are tested until we don't really care anymore.

Our review: ★★★½

Green Book

The story: A rough-edged casino worker and a high-minded musician break barriers on a road trip in a 1962 Cadillac.

In its favor: Precise period details and fine rapport between the actors, who wholly inhabit their roles. The plot offers a refreshing anti-"Driving Miss Daisy" twist.

Then again: It's a rather simplistic, retrograde movie about race relations that has drawn backlash from relatives of the real Don Shirley.

Our review: ★★★½

Roma

The story: Alfonso Cuarón's fictionalized paean to the woman who raised him in Mexico City.

In its favor: A stunning achievement, with a soulful story and luminous cinematography, told largely with amateur actors. Both intimate and epic, at times it echoes the best of Fellini and Bergman.

Then again: Black-and-white. Subtitles. It might have to settle for foreign film honors.

Our review: ★★★★

A Star Is Born

The story: The fourth go-round for the classic story of a woman on the rise and a man on the decline.

In its favor: One of the most exhilarating first acts of any movie you'll see this year, with the powerful chemistry between Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga on full display. We're invested in their story from the first frame.

Then again: Given its dismal showing at the Globes, we wonder if voters are tired of this tale.

Our review: ★★★½

Vice

The story: How Dick Cheney rose to the rank of political mastermind.

In its favor: The actors are clearly having a hell of a good time. The scenery chewing can be overlooked when you've got Christian Bale as the conniving title character and a campy Sam Rockwell as Bush 43.

Then again: The cheeky, scattershot tone, which director Adam McKay employed to better effect in "The Big Short," feels all wrong.

Our review: ★★

4117_PP_D002_02137_RJohn David Washington stars as Ron Stallworth and Laura Harrier as Patrice in Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman, a Focus Features release.Credit: David Lee / Focus Features
John David Washington stars as Ron Stallworth and Laura Harrier as Patrice in Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
This image released by Twentieth Century Fox shows, from left, Ben Hardy, Gwilym Lee, Joe Mazzello and Rami Malek in a scene from "Bohemian Rhapsody." (Alex Bailey/Twentieth Century Fox via AP)
Ben Hardy, Gwilym Lee, Joe Mazzello and Rami Malek in a scene from “Bohemian Rhapsody.” (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Rachel Weisz and Olivia Colman in "The Favourite."
Rachel Weisz and Olivia Colman in “The Favourite.” (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
This image released by Universal Pictures shows Viggo Mortensen, foreground, and Mahershala Ali in a scene from "Green Book." (Universal Pictures via AP)
Viggo Mortensen and Mahershala Ali in a scene from “Green Book.” (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
This image released by Netflix shows Yalitza Aparicio, center, in a scene from the film "Roma," by filmmaker Alfonso Cuaron. (Carlos Somonte/Netflix via AP)
A scene from "Roma". (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga in "A Star is Born." (Neal Preston/Warner Brothers/TNS) ORG XMIT: 1264574
Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga in “A Star is Born.” (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Amy Adams and Christian Bale in "Vice."
Amy Adams and Christian Bale in “Vice.” (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

about the writer

Cynthia Dickison

Designer-Features

Cynthia Dickison is a features designer. She is a St. Paul native and graduate of the University of Minnesota. She has worked at the Star Tribune since 1978, starting on the copy desk. Dickison has worked in every department — news, sports, features, even a short stint on the business cover.

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