Scoggins: How’d the Vikings get here? It started with a bad plan.

Training camp began with a nebulous but optimistically sounding concept. General Manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah noted the organization devoted its offseason to “building the idea of the 2025 Vikings.”

What has become clear is that the brain trust miscalculated the pairing of an unproven quarterback with an expensive, veteran roster that, in theory, was constructed to contend immediately coming off a 14-win season.

At 4-7 after Sunday’s deflating 23-6 loss in Green Bay, the Vikings carry a 1% probability of making the postseason, according to NFL.com’s playoff simulator.

This cannot be a scenario the Wilf family ownership envisioned when agreeing to spend more than $300 million in free agency to bolster the infrastructure around J.J. McCarthy.

The owners might want answers as to why the plan went sideways.

McCarthy is regressing as a first-year NFL starting quarterback and is now in the concussion protocol after experiencing symptoms after the Packers game. His performance in the second half Sunday looked hopeless. The game continues to move at warp speed for him, leaving him indecisive in the pocket and overmatched in trying to operate a functional offense.

Six games is not enough time to declare a verdict on his career, but the results and optics so far support the notion that he needed more developmental time.

Does that sound like a guy ready to run an NFL offense?

If his mechanics required this level of overhaul, on top of all the other intense challenges that young quarterbacks encounter, what convinced O’Connell and Adofo-Mensah that McCarthy should be given the keys in a season that clearly carried high expectations based on other personnel moves?

I supported the organization’s decision to not re-sign Sam Darnold because of the cost and performance red flags that appeared in his final two games last season.

Daniel Jones would have been a perfect bridge, but he sought a better opportunity to start in Indianapolis and obviously made the correct bet.

Aaron Rodgers wanted a job here, but leadership elected to start McCarthy’s clock rather than sign Rodgers or some other veteran who could have provided one more season of developmental time for McCarthy behind the scenes.

The team won 14 games last season, went to the playoffs, then added a group of veteran players who are either in their prime or exiting it. The expectation was to not just make the playoffs but to win a playoff game, something that is missing from the current regime’s résumé.

The Wilf family doesn’t believe in rebuilds. They are fans as owners. They want to win and be in the mix every season. Two summers ago, I mentioned the notion of tanking to Mark Wilf in a conversation, and he immediately shook his head.

“That’s not what we’re about,” he said. “We know what goes into these games. We’re about winning and winning the right way.”

Adofo-Mensah hit the jackpot with his free-agent signings last season. In the NFL, that’s more an anomaly than a realistic blueprint. Draft mistakes necessitated another big swing in free agency to give McCarthy the best chance to succeed, but splashy signings on paper have proven to be expensive miscalculations on the field.

McCarthy’s play is the most glaring problem but not the only problem. The Vikings have lost four of five games since the bye, and frustration is mounting. The locker room in Green Bay was nearly silent as players dressed for the flight home.