Vikings-Falcons preview: J.J. McCarthy, Michael Penix Jr. meet again in the NFL

The Vikings home opener was chosen for “Sunday Night Football” on the strength of a quarterback matchup between 2024 first-round draft picks.

The Minnesota Star Tribune
September 13, 2025 at 9:32PM
The last time quarterbacks J.J. McCarthy, left, and Michael Penix Jr. played each other was in the college football national championship game in January 2024.
  • Kickoff: 7:20 p.m. Sunday
    • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium
      • TV: NBC
        • Radio: KFAN-FM 100.3; SiriusXM 225, 820 (Vikings), 226, 801 (Falcons), 88 (Westwood One)
          • Line: Vikings by 3½

            After their comeback win over the Bears on Monday night, the Vikings will play their third prime-time home opener in U.S. Bank Stadium’s 10-year history. The last time they faced Atlanta, in December, the week was all about Kirk Cousins’ return; he’ll likely be only a spectator this time, watching the quarterbacks the Vikings and Falcons took in the first round to succeed him last year.

            Here’s a look at the matchup between the 1-0 Vikings and 0-1 Atlanta:

            The biggest story line

            McCarthy, Penix share the field again: The last time J.J. McCarthy played a game against Michael Penix Jr. was on Jan. 8, 2024, when Michigan defeated Washington 34-13 in the college football national championship game. That storyline will likely be referenced frequently on Sunday night, in a matchup NBC probably claimed for the early part of the season while both teams are still relevant. The Vikings spent time with Penix before last year’s draft, and took McCarthy two picks after the Falcons delivered the stunner of the night by selecting Penix eighth overall even though they’d just signed Cousins to a four-year, $180 million contract.

            Listen to the latest episode of the Access Vikings podcast:

            Vikings offense vs. Falcons defense

            McCarthy looks to cap big week with home win: On Wednesday, McCarthy was named the NFC offensive player of the week for leading the Vikings’ comeback win in his hometown on Monday night. On Thursday, he left the Vikings’ facility following team meetings to be with his fiancée, Katya Kuropas, as she gave birth to the couple’s first child. It’s surely a week he’ll never forget, and he’ll finish it with his first start at U.S. Bank Stadium in prime time. The Falcons took Georgia pass rusher Jalon Walker 15th overall to help a middling pass rush, and Notre Dame safety Xavier Watts (Atlanta’s third-round pick) had an impressive debut last week. But if the Vikings can give McCarthy time to throw, he could test the Falcons’ secondary.

            Jefferson seeks a sharper outing: Though he caught McCarthy’s first NFL touchdown pass on Monday night, Justin Jefferson had an uncharacteristically sloppy start to the season, with two dropped passes and a few route-running errors. He took responsibility for McCarthy’s pick-six on Thursday, saying he needed to take two more steps in his route to time his break with McCarthy’s throw, and had several other routes he cut off short of the intended spot. “I’ve got to be better at detailing my route and getting to where I need to be,” he said.

            Falcons running back Bijan Robinson had 24 yards rushing but 100 yards receiving in Atlanta's season opener against Tampa Bay. (Danny Karnik/The Associated Press)

            Vikings defense vs. Falcons offense

            Vikings get first look at Penix: Atlanta’s second-year quarterback was still the backup last December when the Falcons came to U.S. Bank Stadium. He took over the job from Cousins later that month, and threw for 298 yards and a touchdown while running for another score last week. Penix, who’s had two torn ACLs in his career, isn’t a frequent running threat (though the Vikings praised his mobility this week). He’s got the arm strength to push the ball downfield, and could look to Darnell Mooney to stretch the field if the receiver returns from injury this week. The Vikings will be without Andrew Van Ginkel because of a concussion. That will give Dallas Turner his first start, as the second-year pass rusher tries to pressure Penix. On Saturday, the Falcons announced another change, as they will make former Viking Parker Romo their kicker for Sunday night over struggling veteran Younghoe Koo.

            Robinson can ”ruin a game”: In the matchup between the teams last December, Bijan Robinson gained 92 yards on 22 carries, but the Vikings limited the eighth pick in the 2023 draft to two catches for 9 yards. That’s significant given the fact he caught 61 passes last year and posted 100 yards on six catches last week, including a swing pass he took 50 yards for a touchdown after Penix found the running back on a checkdown. “He’s as hard to tackle as there is in the National Football League,” Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores said. “He’s got great vision. He can get to the perimeter. He’s certainly got the jump cut. He can put his foot in the ground if you overrun it. It’s not just your normal swing routes to a running back. He can run slants and slant gos. He’s got the whole arsenal as far as route-running ability. I was telling our guys earlier, this guy can ruin a game.”

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            Injury report

            Vikings

            • Out: LT Christian Darrisaw (knee), CB Jeff Okudah (concussion), OLB Andrew Van Ginkel (concussion)
              • Questionable: LB Austin Keys (groin), S Harrison Smith (illness)

                Falcons

                • Out: WR Jamal Agnew (groin), S Jordan Fuller (knee), OL Jack Nelson (calf), WR Casey Washington (concussion)
                  • Questionable: CB Billy Bowman Jr. (shoulder), S DeMarcco Hellams (hamstring), Edge James Pearce Jr. (groin)

                    Prediction

                    The Falcons‘ offensive weapons, especially with Robinson’s elusiveness and Drake London’s physicality, will test a Vikings defense that is without two starters because of injury and had three defensive backs on the injury report this week. It will require the Vikings to get creative with their secondary, and they’ll need solid performances from players like cornerback Dwight McGlothern. But they’ll get a boost from a U.S. Bank Stadium crowd that should be electric on Sunday night, and their offense will have some favorable matchups against Atlanta’s defense. They’ll win their home opener in a close one. Vikings 23, Falcons 21

                    To get exclusive analysis on the Vikings by Ben Goessling in your inbox every Friday, sign up for the free Access Vikings newsletter. Email your Vikings questions to accessvikings@startribune.com.

                    about the writer

                    about the writer

                    Ben Goessling

                    Sports reporter

                    Ben Goessling has covered the Vikings since 2012, first at the Pioneer Press and ESPN before becoming the Minnesota Star Tribune's lead Vikings reporter in 2017. He was named one of the top NFL beat writers by the Pro Football Writers of America in 2024, after honors in the AP Sports Editors and National Headliner Awards contests in 2023.

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