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In his Aug. 30 commentary, Rob Doar suggested what will and will not work to prevent mass shootings like the one at Annunciation Church, where a shooter killed two children, injured 21 and traumatized an entire community. As the senior vice president of Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus, his conclusions came as no surprise: Absolutely nothing should be done on the gun control front, and we should only consider solutions unrelated to gun control. He is wrong.
First, when dismissing the effectiveness of assault weapons bans, Doar misled us by cherry-picking a quote from a 2004 National Institute of Justice report: “We cannot clearly credit the [1994 Federal Assault Weapons] Ban with any of the nation’s recent drop in gun violence.” He conveniently left out the next two sentences: “However, the ban’s exemption of millions of pre-ban AWs [assault weapons] and LCMs [large capacity magazines] ensured that the effects of the law would occur only gradually. Those effects are still unfolding and may not be fully felt for several years into the future, particularly if foreign, pre-ban LCMs continue to be imported into the U.S. in large numbers.”
Second, he didn’t mention reputable studies, such as the RAND Corporation’s more recent analysis that found: “Among the three studies with higher methodological quality, one found that state assault weapon bans significantly reduced school shooting casualties, and one found that high-capacity magazine bans significantly reduced mass public shootings.”
Clearly there is evidence that assault weapon bans could save lives, particularly if we look honestly at the data on what did and did not work with the previous ban.
Third, Doar argued that an assault weapons ban wouldn’t have stopped the Annunciation shooter because the shooter carried a shotgun and pistol along with an AR-15-style assault rifle. Doar ignored the fact that the assault rifle was the primary weapon. Police reported that they recovered 116 rifle shells but only three shotgun shells. They also found one live round in a pistol that had malfunctioned.
Would an assault weapons ban have stopped the Annunciation Church shooter? We’ll never know. But it seems pretty likely that without the weapon that caused more than 97% of the carnage, there would have been fewer casualties.