Real estate agent Ryan Ness filled his pocket with business cards one recent weekday afternoon and strolled down several blocks of homes in a Cottage Grove subdivision.
He knocked on front doors, searching for someone — anyone — who might be willing to sell. One by one, he was politely turned away. "They're leery of the market," said Ness, a 30-year-old agent with Coldwell Banker Burnet.
With the number of homes for sale at the lowest level in more than a decade, Twin Cities agents are finding themselves working harder than ever to find sellers, even while prices are climbing by double-digit rates in many areas. Some agents are blitzing neighborhoods with mailers: "I have a client who wants to buy your house!" Others are cold-calling homeowners by ZIP code.
The shortage of willing sellers is holding back what has been a promising recovery within the Twin Cities housing market, analysts say. Despite record-low mortgage rates and an improving jobs market, home sales dipped slightly in the metro area the past two months, as a growing backlog of would-be buyers can't find what they want.
"The tables have turned, and buyers are hungry," said Jed Kolko, chief economist for Trulia.com. "Buyers and agents are both desperate for sellers — and desperate times call for desperate measures."
At the peak of the housing market in 2007, more than 34,000 properties were listed for sale in the metro area; today, less than 13,000 are available. New listings aren't keeping pace with purchases, creating fierce competition in many communities as buyers try to outbid each other for a dwindling supply.
Overall, home prices reflect the rising demand. Last month, the median price of home sales spiked nearly 18 percent compared with last year, according to the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors.
And yet, only a trickle of houses are being put on the market. Many homeowners — nearly one in five — owe more than the house is worth, forcing them to wait for prices to climb higher.