Twin Cities economy passes Detroit's

But Western cities with healthier economies are a better benchmark.

September 17, 2014 at 4:38AM
Construction continued on the new Vikings’ stadium construction site, in the shadow of downtown Minneapolis. ] JIM GEHRZ • jgehrz@startribune.com / Minneapolis, MN / May 30, 2014 / 5:15 AM
Construction continued on the new Vikings’ stadium construction site, in the shadow of downtown Minneapolis. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

The Twin Cities now has a larger economy than Detroit.

Solid growth in 2013 moved Minneapolis-St. Paul up the rankings of metropolitan economies, passing the Motor City to rank 13th in the nation, according to data released Tuesday by the U.S. Department of Commerce.

In the Midwest, only Chicago now has a larger economy than the Twin Cities — by a wide margin. Chicago's 2013 GDP was $550.8 billion, compared with Minneapolis-St. Paul's $213.5 billion.

Despite Detroit's heavy dependence on auto manufacturing and its high-profile municipal bankruptcy, its economy has been growing respectably since the recession — only slightly slower than the Twin Cities'.

Still, Detroit is not the city the Twin Cities should be comparing itself with, said Louis Johnston, an economist at the College of St. Benedict and St. John's University.

"If you compare us with Detroit, you're putting the bar pretty low," Johnston said.

In fact, Johnston doesn't think the Twin Cities should compare itself with any city in the Midwest.

Compared with Western cities such as Seattle, Denver, San Diego and Portland — all with healthy and comparably sized economies — Minneapolis-St. Paul is in the middle of the pack.

Per capita GDP in the Twin Cities is $61,711, just ahead of Denver and San Diego, but well below Seattle and Portland.

The trend in growth since 2009, when GDP contracted across the country, has been similar. In per capita GDP growth over that period, Minneapolis-St. Paul weighs in ahead of Denver and San Diego and behind Portland and Seattle.

Johnston sees these cities as growing sustainably and connected to the global economy in meaningful ways. That Minneapolis-St. Paul is growing at a similar rate is a good sign.

"It's a much better yardstick to compare ourselves with cities that have a global connection," he said. "Minneapolis-St. Paul as an area is connected to the global economy the same way those are connected to the global economy, and that's a good thing not just for now but for the future."

Economic growth in the Twin Cities — which accounts for three-quarters of the Minnesota economy — was 2.5 percent in 2013. That compared with a 1.7 percent national average.

The industries that grew the most in the Twin Cities in 2013 were construction, at 6.1 percent, and nondurable goods manufacturing, at 10.3 percent. Output from government and durable goods manufacturing fell slightly. Growth for most other sectors was around 2 or 3 percent.

"It looks pretty balanced," Johnston said. "That's the other thing that stands out."

Adam Belz • 612-673-4405 • Twitter: @adambelz


FILE- This April 9, 2008 file photo shows the city of Detroit. An attorney for Detroit is set to resume his opening statement, Wednesday, Sept. 3, 2014, at the cityís historic bankruptcy trial, after telling the judge on the first day that the cityís plan to restructure billions of dollars in debt is needed to free up funds to provide services to residents and allow it to survive. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio, file)
FILE- This April 9, 2008 file photo shows the city of Detroit. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Seattle skyline. Article ran Sun Oct 27, 2002, Star Tribune Travel section, page G4. Photo courtesy of the Seattle-King County Convention and Visitors Bureau.
Seattle skyline. Article ran Sun Oct 27, 2002, Star Tribune Travel section, page G4. Photo courtesy of the Seattle-King County Convention and Visitors Bureau. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
**FILE** The Denver city skyline is shown in this photograph taken on Monday, Dec. 11, 2006. The 2008 Democratic presidential convention will be held in Denver, the Democratic National Committee announced Thursday, Jan. 11, 2007. (AP Photo/Ed Andrieski, FILE) ORG XMIT: DX101
**FILE** The Denver city skyline is shown in this photograph taken on Monday, Dec. 11, 2006. The 2008 Democratic presidential convention will be held in Denver, the Democratic National Committee announced Thursday, Jan. 11, 2007. (AP Photo/Ed Andrieski, FILE) ORG XMIT: DX101 (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Kyndell Harkness flew for flooding photos and made some photos for the archives Minneapolis, St Paul, TCF stadium, The Viking Stadium construction, and skyline photos. Mystic lake and Valley Fair too.
Construction and nondurable goods manufacturing were the industries that experienced the most growth in 2013 in the Twin Cities. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
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about the writer

Adam Belz

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Adam Belz was the agriculture reporter for the Star Tribune.

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