President Bush is set to sign the $168 billion plan to juice the economy. My hand is out. I'm happy to accept what could be an $1,800 check, including child tax credits, that the politicians have promised my household.
My parents managed to make do most years on a very modest salary for a family of six. My father counseled me to avoid bars, full-retail price and to pinch nickels so I'd have a few bucks in a pinch. I didn't always heed the advice. My rebate will go into a reserve fund, pledged against a few thousand bucks outstanding on a home-equity loan.
Most economists say that this economic stimulus will be a nice boost that may get us through 2008 without an official recession.
The working poor -- the folks who labor at one or two jobs to cobble together a household income of $35,000 or less -- are going to stimulate some sales at Wal-Mart and secondhand stores, or maybe pay off a past-due heating bill. They spend every dime. The affluent are as likely to bank the money, buy a Treasury bill or take a vacation with their rebate, the economists say.
And there's some help for businesses in the package. Mark Sellner, director of graduate studies in taxation at the University of Minnesota's Carlson School of Business, said Monday that two little-noticed provisions of the tax package, resurrected from the 2001-02 economic recovery package, will permit businesses to deduct up to 50 percent of equipment purchases this year, and liberalize expenses for small businesses.
"The business stimulus would seem to be a better job-creation-retention policy," Sellner said. "For the bonus depreciation provisions, only new equipment qualifies, so someone has to make it and someone else has to run it, so two jobs are affected. On the other hand, a client once told me he needs more revenue, not more deductions. The rebates put money back into the consumer economy immediately."
Let's hope that this extra $168 billion on the government's credit card, on top of the $500 billion in borrowed money for the Iraq war, juices the economy this year and beyond. Still, this is a pittance compared with the total federal debt, including Social Security borrowings.
Frankly, I think it will take a few years to get through the real-estate bubble and the credit crunch visited upon us by greedy bankers, fast-talking brokers and dumb consumers.