February home construction rises modestly

Building permits, a sign of future demand, were up sharply last month.

March 20, 2013 at 1:38AM

WASHINGTON – Construction on new U.S. homes nudged up in February with modest gains for single-family residences and apartments, as longer-term trends signaled a housing market that continued to strengthen, according to data released Tuesday.

The U.S. Department of Commerce's report also showed substantial gains in building permits, which indicate future demand.

Construction on new U.S. homes rose 0.8 percent in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 917,000. Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected construction starts in February to rise to a rate of 913,000 from an original January estimate of 890,000. On Tuesday the government revised January's rate upward, to 910,000.

Starts for single-family homes rose 0.5 percent in February to a rate of 618,000, the highest level since June 2008.

The longer-term picture points to a rebound in activity — starts in February were up 28 percent from the same period in the prior year. Despite construction gains, which have been fueled by pent-up demand and affordability, starts remain below a bubble peak of almost 2.3 million in 2006.

"The overall picture on the housing starts front has been somewhat tepid over the past two months. Nevertheless, the housing recovery continues to run at a solid pace, with both broader trends pointing to a steady recovery in the sector," wrote Gennadiy Goldberg, a strategist at TD Securities, in a research note.

Going forward, there's concern that overly stringent lending standards and ongoing high unemployment could cut progress. But a recent report on confidence among homebuilders signaled that their outlook on upcoming sales increased in March, while their views about present home sales worsened.

Stephen Stanley, an economist at Pierpont Securities, wrote in a research note that building may be somewhat constrained in coming months.

"Builders remain extremely hesitant about ramping up construction activity. They simply are not going to run ahead of demand," Stanley wrote. "The combination of conservatism by both builders and lenders means that housing starts are likely to remain a half-step behind demand for the foreseeable future."

The government also reported Tuesday that building permits, a sign of future demand, rose 4.6 percent in February to a rate of 946,000, also hitting the highest level since June 2008. Permits for single-family homes rose 2.7 percent to a rate of 600,000, the highest level since July 2008.

Regionally, starts were mixed in February, with monthly gains of 38 percent in the Midwest and 18 percent in the Northeast. Meanwhile, there were declines of 7 percent in the West and 6 percent in the South.

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about the writer

Ruth Mantell, MarketWatch

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