We're less than two weeks until Selection Sunday — March 24 — and the NCAA tournament picture is starting to take shape. There will be some changes, especially if there are upsets in conference tournaments and teams outside of the top 16 of the PairWise Ratings secure automatic NCAA bids, but the top four especially is taking shape.

College Hockey News' PairWise Probability Matrix lists St. Cloud State's chances of being the No. 1 overall seed at 100 percent. It also has Massachusetts at 97 percent, Minnesota State at 80 percent and Minnesota Duluth at 49 percent in being one of the top four overall seeds.

There were some slight alterations in the PairWise, with the most significant being Minnesota State moving up to No. 3, one spot ahead of Minnesota Duluth, which dropped a spot to No. 4 after being swept at No. 1 St. Cloud State. The three Minnesota teams remain in line to be No. 1 NCAA seeds.