Nearly 16 percent of Indonesia's 250 million people survive on $1.90 a day or less, as do more than 6 percent of Cambodia's 15 million people.
In both countries, rice is the staple crop, providing more than half the daily calories of the poor. That puts needy Cambodians at a distinct advantage: Between January of last year and April of this, the average wholesale cost of a kilo of rice in Cambodia was roughly 40 cents, while in Indonesia it was nearly 70 cents.
There are a few reasons rice is more expensive in Indonesia. For one, Indonesia is a net importer, whereas Cambodia grows more than it needs. Indonesia is also a far-flung archipelago with abysmal infrastructure, which raises transport costs. But David Dawe of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), a division of the United Nations, has found that transport costs account for only a small share of the gap in prices. Instead, the culprit is policy.
Like many Asian countries, Indonesia wants to be self-sufficient in rice. But as well as trying to help farmers become competitive through investments in agriculture and infrastructure, its government, like others in the region, manipulates the rice market through a welter of subsidies, tariffs and other support mechanisms for domestic producers. These interventions raise prices for consumers and harm the region's poorest people.
Many governments look back with fear to the rice-price spike of 2007-08, seeing it as a reason to build up domestic production so that they are not dependent on a fickle international market. In fact, the rice market is fairly stable: Production has largely matched or exceeded population-growth rates in Asia.
Rice prices shot up then because governments panicked. India restricted exports, which sent the international price soaring. The Philippines, which had low government rice stocks but ample private stocks and was on the verge of a record harvest, nonetheless bought massive quantities of Vietnamese rice at above-market prices. That helped spur a run on rice in Vietnam. Thailand mulled restricting exports and creating a rice-exporting cartel, inspired by OPEC, with Vietnam, Cambodia and Myanmar. Elsewhere, smaller exporters cut exports while importers and farmers hoarded. Prices did not start falling until the second half of 2008, when Vietnam, Japan and Thailand all said they would boost exports, and oil and shipping costs started declining.
This episode was an object lesson in the perils of interference. But governments continue to intervene across the market. They offer trade restrictions, price support and hefty subsidies on power, fertilizer and water, mainly to keep domestic prices stable, assure supplies in times of crisis and protect domestic growers.
In one sense, this has worked. Across Asia, domestic rice prices are relatively stable. But the countries trying to reduce imports tend to have far higher prices than exporters. Japan, for instance, maintains its network of archaic, inefficient, heavily subsidized small rice farms. The average age of its rice farmers is 70. Japan imports rice grudgingly and taxes it heavily: Tariffs on milled rice will remain at 778 percent, even after it joins the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a free-trade agreement under which Japan agreed to lower tariffs on other agricultural imports.