The regime of Vladimir Putin has always presented successful, liberal-minded Russians with a quandary: To what extent are they willing to put up with an authoritarian government in return for making a life in their native country?
Lately, a number of well-known Russians have decided that the bargain isn't worth it.
Sergei Guriev, a highly respected Russian economist, quietly left Moscow last week to join his family in Paris, where he plans to remain. He asked to be struck off the list of candidates for the supervisory board of Russia's largest bank, the state-controlled Sberbank. He mailed in his resignation as head of the New Economic School, a research and learning institution with the best economics faculty in Russia.
In terms of public profile, Guriev is the closest thing Russia has to Paul Krugman. He is a serious academic with more than 1,600 citations in international publications, according to Google Scholar - about 75 times fewer than Krugman's, but respectable for Russia. He writes a widely read newspaper column, and has advised the government on matters of public policy.
The advisory role backfired for Guriev. In 2011, then- President Dmitri Medvedev's Human Rights Council gave Guriev and other experts a tough assignment: Analyze the verdict in the trial of Mikhail Khodorkovsky, once Russia's richest individual and, since 2003, a prisoner convicted of economic crimes. An avowed political enemy of Putin, Khodorkovsky has stood two trials. In the most recent one, in 2011, he was convicted of stealing a vast quantity of oil from the subsidiaries of Yukos, the hydrocarbon conglomerate he controlled.
In their report, the experts ripped into the verdict, saying Khodorkovsky was convicted for what amounted to standard business practice. Guriev wrote that what the judge considered theft was merely transfer pricing, used by all holding companies to concentrate profits at the corporate center. The report provided ammunition to Khodorkovsky's lawyers appealing to the European Court for Human Rights, and to former Yukos shareholders suing in the West for damages caused by the company's demise. It was an embarrassment to Putin and the Russian courts.
In 2012, the Investigative Committee, Russia's FBI, started delving into the backgrounds of the reports' signatories, looking for Yukos funding. They found that in 2003, the New Economic School had received money from a Yukos-financed foundation. Guriev was away lecturing at Princeton at the time, and he says he had no hand in either receiving or spending the money. Nonetheless, the investigators keep looking for conflicts of interest. The digging has intensified ahead of Khodorkovsky's scheduled release in October 2014.
In an interview with Kommersant FM radio, Guriev said that on April 25, investigators demanded access to his personal emails since 2008. "It took them two days to copy them," he said. "I write a lot of emails, so it must have been 40 or 45 gigabytes." According to Guriev, his interrogators hinted that he was under scrutiny because of his "political activity" and asked pointedly whether he intended to emigrate. After consulting with friends close to the ruling elite, Guriev decided that it was no longer safe to stay in Moscow. "I think my family deserves for me to stay out of prison," he told Kommersant FM.