One of Joe Biden's first messages to the world after the 2020 election was that America would lead "not by the example of our power, but by the power of our example." Yes, the American example is a powerful tool of influence. But how is that example viewed across the globe?
The Eurasia Group Foundation set out to answer that question in its third annual international survey. It surveyed more than 5,000 people in 10 countries, including allies such as Japan and Germany and adversaries such as Russia and China. Conducted in March, the survey was an early look at views of America and American-style democracy under the Biden administration.
Three trends in the survey results stood out to me. The Biden administration would do well to consider them as it looks to reshape our country's engagement in the world.
First, the United States gets the most bang for the buck out of its nonmilitary influence. The survey asked respondents from all 10 countries whether certain forms of U.S. engagement had positive or negative influences on their countries. The list covered the sale of military weapons and vehicles, military collaboration, American-style education, American private foundations, U.S. diplomats, U.S. development support, American culture (movies, music and television), American companies and consumer products.
Both forms of military assistance ranked lowest for positive influence. This means that nonmilitary tools, often referred to as "soft power," bring the U.S. more goodwill and influence globally.
Familiarity and connections with the U.S. and its culture were also powerful positive influencers. People who had recently traveled to the U.S. or had a friend or family member there were far more likely to have a positive opinion of the country, while those with little or no association with the U.S. or its culture were more likely to hold anti-American sentiments.
Why, then, does the U.S. spend so much more money and effort on military tools and engagement? And how could we promote cultural, economic and educational ties — ties that ultimately feed into our local economies and businesses too? These are some questions the Biden administration should ask.
Second, our costly military commitments to treaty allies aren't boosting our reputation. The U.S. has 55,000 troops stationed in Japan, 36,000 in Germany and 5,500 in Poland. These outposts might reassure our allies' governments, but they do little to reassure the local public. When asked whether U.S. military involvement in their region promotes stability, citizens of Germany, Japan and Poland were unenthusiastic. Majorities in Germany and Japan either disagreed or had no opinion. U.S. military involvement was valued higher in Poland, but hardly by a landslide, with only 53.2% agreeing that it promoted stability.