A jumbo portion of the State Fair's appeal is its familiarity. Minnesotans like knowing that no matter what else changes, butter sculptures, newborn piglets and deep-fried treats await them at the end of every August, right where they were the year before.
Gov. Mark Dayton's political appeal is built on some of the same ingredients. I'm referring to familiarity and dependability — not pigs and grease.
The prominence of his family's name and business allows older Minnesotans to think they've known him for all of his 66 years. His bids for statewide office in 1982, 1990, 1998, 2000 and 2010 and one-term stints as state auditor and U.S. senator connected him with successive cohorts of Minnesotans who never shopped at Dayton's.
I don't have a poll to prove it. But I'd wager that DFLer Dayton's familiarity was part of what allowed him to eke out an 8,770-vote victory against a strong Republican tide in 2010. The economy was still experiencing Great Recession aftershocks that year, and a wide chasm had opened between state revenues and spending commitments. With so much changing in frightening ways, Minnesotans went with the guy they knew and trusted.
Minnesota is still changing rapidly. But the changes lately aren't as fearsome. Nearly all the jobs lost in the 2008-09 are back. The urban skyline again includes construction cranes — the late Gov. Rudy Perpich's favorite economic indicator. Minnesota tied with California for the fifth-fastest economic growth in the country in a U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis report this summer.
Fairgoers are toting more and bigger souvenirs — or so it seemed on opening day from my perch on the back porch of the Star Tribune booth, where passers-by and I asked Dayton an hour's worth of questions.
The pall of persistent fiscal crisis appears to have lifted in state government. Now what? a fairgoer asked. "You're coming up to another election. Are there some early things you can tease us with that you're going to have on your agenda then?"
"Next year will come down to: Do the people approve of what we've accomplished in the previous four years?" Dayton said. "We'll have other proposals for where we go next."