We’re going straight from mid-February to early October and skipping all the games. Because we already know what’s going to happen: the Twins are going to win either 77 or 78 games.
Just kidding! No! Don’t sink any deeper into a seasonal funk. They’re really going to play the games. It’s really going to warm up. (I ran outside this morning around Lake Calhoun, and I’m here to report: the cold today is no good, and the wind today is stupid).
What I am here to tell you is that Las Vegas odds, as noted by Pregame.com, have put the Twins’ over-under total at 77.5 victories this season.
What does that mean? Well, it could mean those who set the lines for a living think that Twins players are going to regress, and that regression will take them down a few ticks from the 83 victories they had a year ago.
It could also mean the oddsmakers think the AL Central is so stacked that even if the Twins improve or merely hold steady they could still fall back. (Only seven teams in MLB have over-under totals lower than 77.5, and none of them are in the Twins’ division).
It definitely means those same people could be very wrong again, since they set the line at 70.5 last season and the Twins crushed that easily. (If you bet the over last year, you knew you were cashing it by Sept. 7).
In this space, right here, the betting is free. So what is it: over or under?
(I’ll take the over).