Much about Turkey today vexes U.S. policymakers and observers of the region. Distaste is high with what is widely seen as rising authoritarianism centered on President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. So is bewilderment over seemingly obstinate and unhelpful grandstanding on regional issues, not to mention anti-Americanism. Some even question whether Turkey is a real ally anymore.
Nowhere does bilateral discord look sharper than over the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, a radical terrorist group beheading its way across the Middle East. On Sept. 10, President Obama called for a wide-ranging international coalition to combat the group (also known as the Islamic State in the Levant, or ISIL). NATO members and key Middle East players are contributing forces to the effort. Despite risks to its security that ISIL poses, Turkey is not.
Some think its stance is worse. Perhaps it buys ISIL-produced oil, indirectly funding terrorism, or colludes in the flow of foreign fighters that have joined ISIL's ranks. The passive stance of Turkish forces atop ridgelines overlooking the border town of Kobane where ISIL is fighting Syrian Kurds is the poster child of a major U.S. ally seeming to sit on the sidelines.
Mirror-image frustrations abound on the Turkish side. Officials were dismayed that Obama's August 2011 call for "President Assad to step aside" lacked a strategy to bring about that end. They regard U.S. support for the moderate opposition as parsimonious, inconsistent and ineffective. They felt double-crossed when the president canceled planned strikes against Assad in August 2013 after he crossed the no-use-of-chemical-weapons "red line." They have been disappointed by the world's inadequate response to the humanitarian crisis in Syria and the staggering refugee burden that they and all of that country's neighbors now bear.
Leaders in Turkey's capital, Ankara, liked what they heard in Obama's ISIL strategy speech: U.S. leadership, commitment to military action against ISIL, and recognition that new approaches would be needed in Iraq and Syria to address the brutal and sectarian policies that made those countries' Sunni populations fertile recruiting ground for ISIL.
However, in the implementation of that strategy, Ankara sees plenty of action involving ISIL and Iraq, which it appreciates, but little on Syria, which for Turkey is the major national security concern.
As distrustful of U.S. resolve in the region as Americans are of it, and not wanting to see ISIL is disrupted while Assad and what he means for his country endure, Turkey has conditioned its role in the ISIL coalition on agreement about Syria. It has long proposed working together on a no-fly or safe zone within that country — territory along the border with Turkey where displaced Syrians would feel safe, to which U.S.- and Turkish-trained fighters of the Free Syrian Army (FSA) could be deployed, and from which a more credible alternative to both Assad and ISIL, backed by force, could develop.
Given Americans' antipathy for another war, the Obama administration has been rightly cautious on Syria, and it may also be right to prioritize for now beating back ISIL in Iraq, where the levers for fixing matters seem more extensive. But the disintegration of Syria, the leaching out of instability in the region and the humanitarian catastrophe that will grow worse require a more directed approach.