Last time I spoke with Twins boss Derek Falvey, I told him to sign Nelson Cruz. He did.
Let's try this again. Derek: You should sign Craig Kimbrel.
Here's why:
1. You need a closer. Maybe Blake Parker or Fernando Romero could handle the job, but neither feels like a sure thing.
Parker has closed games, but the Angels seemed pretty happy to let him leave and to sign Cody Allen, who is coming off the worst season of his career.
Romero has never earned a save in professional baseball. Parker and Romero could be assets this season, but you're better off if they are earning their money somewhere other than the ninth inning.
2. You may view Kimbrel as ridiculously expensive. Because he likely will be. The analytics world doesn't like expensive closers, because few pitch lots of innings or necessarily take the mound during the biggest crises.
But Kimbrel has been exceptional and healthy. He's only 30. And if you don't sign him and Byron Buxton, Miguel Sano and Max Kepler begin producing, you may have to go get a closer anyway, perhaps by giving up valuable assets in a trade.