Ervin Santana crashed to earth on Sunday, giving up six runs in his first poor outing of 2017. His bad day doesn't change his future. For the next few months he'll be the subject of trade rumors.
It's May 8, yet you've probably heard the argument 100 times: The Twins must trade Santana to acquire good young pitching.
This sounds perfectly logical if you ignore, you know, the facts.
Santana is 34. He is signed for 2018. The Twins have an option to keep him for 2019.
It seems the people who most want to see Santana traded are the same ones who will complain if the Twins continue to fail, and if Santana is traded for less-expensive players, and if the team tries to sell another rebuild with another wave of young players.
The perfect summer scenario for the Twins would be Santana keeping them relevant until July 31, then being traded for a top pitching prospect who will transform the franchise. In reality, both of those eventualities are far-fetched.
Trades sound great before they're made, but we tend to glorify the good ones and forget about the bad ones. There is no guarantee and there may not even be a likelihood that trading Santana will bring back a pitcher who can perform like Santana.
The winter after he hit 42 home runs as a second baseman, Brian Dozier would have brought only one good pitching prospect in return. The Twins were right not to trade him for that, and they would be right not to trade Santana merely for whatever the market will offer.