The Twins are paced by their two All-Stars, but Berrios has battled inconsistency. He also will be making his first postseason appearance since 2017, when he relieved Ervin Santana in the wild-card game but gave up three runs over three innings. Odorizzi is sharp, going 8-2 with a 2.89 ERA over his past 10 starts, but he might get the call in Game 3 instead of Game 2, with the Twins looking at a bullpen game or rookie Randy Dobnak to get a start. Paxton has not lost since July 26 and posted a 1.69 ERA over his past seven starts, as his curveball became a weapon down the stretch. New York will also have Tanaka and Severino start, but they might not be asked to pitch deep into their games. Severino hasn't forgotten getting knocked out of the 2017 wild-card game — "I can get revenge," he said. Edge: Yankees.
Taylor Rogers (2-4, 2.61, 30 saves) vs. Aroldis Chapman (3-2, 2,21, 37 saves); Sergio Romo (2-1, 3.43) vs. Adam Ottavino (6-5,1.90); Tyler Duffey (5-1, 2.50) vs. Zack Britton (3-1, 1.91); Trevor May (5-3, 2.94) vs. Tommy Kahnle (3-2, 3.67)
One of the Twins' best second-half developments was the progress of their bullpen. They have formed a group of capable lead protectors, with Duffey and May making big strides during the final weeks. Rookie righthander Zack Littell also has raised his game. Lefthander Martin Perez and righthander Kyle Gibson loom as bullpen arms if they don't get a start. One reason the Yankees are considering having a bullpen game is because of their group of relievers, with Chapman the last man standing. Ottavino has been lights out in his first season in New York. All four of their key relievers has a devastating out pitch, and the Yankees were 24-1 when all four appeared in a game.
Edge: Yankees, but the Twins have closed the gap.
It's tough to pinpoint the number of reserves because both the Twins and Yankees might take 13 pitchers in anticipation of bullpen games. For the Twins, Luis Arraez (ankle sprain) would be at the top of the list of players coming off the bench. If he's ready, he could end up in the starting lineup with Jonathan Schoop on the bench. Jason Castro likely will start at catcher in Game 2. Infielder Ehire Adrianza might be recovered from an oblique injury. The guess here is that the Twins go with defense on the bench to back up a loaded lineup. The Yankees' top reserves are Romine, Cameron Maybin, Luke Voit and Mike Ford, although Voit's late-season slump might jeopardize his place on the Division Series roster. Ford gives the Yankees a little pop off the bench, while Maybin is needed as cover in the outfield.