The manufacturing sector still had a pulse in August, but it got considerably weaker along with the stock market and general confidence in the nation's economy.
Two widely watched benchmarks of manufacturing activity released Thursday showed their lowest rates of growth in several months. One of them, a survey by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), inched closer to showing no growth at all.
The ISM index, based on interviews with hundreds of manufacturers nationwide, fell to 50.6 in August compared with 50.9 in July. A reading of 50 or higher indicates growth.
A component of the ISM index that measures production fell below 50, the first sign of actual contraction since May 2009. Another component that measures new orders was below 50 for the second straight month, an indication that the situation is unlikely to improve anytime soon.
"The overall sentiment is one of concern and caution over the domestic and international economic environment, which is affecting customers' confidence and willingness to place orders, at least in the short term," said Bradley Holcomb, chairman of the ISM's survey committee.
The sentiment was echoed by a similar study that covers a nine-state mid-America region that includes Minnesota. That index, overseen by Prof. Ernie Goss at Creighton University, fell to 52 in August versus 54.1 in July.
Its "confidence index" -- which measures respondents' opinions of short-term economic trends -- was below 50 for the second consecutive month, a level not seen since the 2008-09 recession. The study's employment index fell below 50 after 19 months above the neutral mark.
Goss said the survey shows an economy on the verge of a recession, although he said a low- or no-growth pattern is more likely for the next three to six months.