Investing dominates most discussions of retirement planning. How much are you saving in your 401(k), 403(b) and similar retirement savings plans? What's your asset allocation in the portfolio, your mix of stocks, bonds, and cash?
Yet, despite all the focus on investing and asset allocation, for most people the most powerful levers on achieving a decent living standard in retirement have little to do with their investing strategy.
What does matter for most people? Working longer. Reduced spending. Maybe a reverse mortgage.
"Strikingly, the typical 401(k)/IRA balance of households approaching retirement is less than $100,000, which suggests that the net benefits of portfolio reallocation have to be modest for the typical household," write scholars Alicia H. Munnell, Natalia Sergeyevna Orlova and Anthony Webb in their paper "How Important is Asset Allocation to Financial Security in Retirement?"
"Given the relative unimportance of asset allocations, financial advisers will be of greater help to their clients if they focus on a broad array of tools -- including working longer, controlling spending and taking out a reverse mortgage."
The paper by the scholars from the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College is detailed and runs through several scenarios. I want to highlight what I thought was an especially telling set of numbers. For the median wage earner -- and assuming a rate of return on assets of 4 percent in their 401(k) and IRA -- starting to save at age 25 rather than age 45 cuts the required savings rate for an adequate retirement income by about two-thirds. However, delaying retirement from age 62 to age 70 also reduces the required savings rate by some two-thirds.
"In summary, starting early and working longer are far more effective levers for gaining a secure retirement than earning a high return," they say.
Many baby boomers have found it hard to save, and not because they can't resist the mall and credit cards. Incomes haven't gained much for the majority of workers over the past three decades even as there have been a lot of demands on our earnings, from owning a home to educating our children to taking care of aging parents.