RandBall: Could a healthy Luke Keaschall have changed the Twins’ whole season?

The rookie has been dynamite in a very small sample size. In today’s 10 things to know, Michael Rand looks at how this season could (or could not) have been different if he hadn’t missed three months with an injury.

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The Minnesota Star Tribune
August 6, 2025 at 5:02PM
Luke Keaschall made a splash in his big-league debut, but a broken arm sidelined him for three months. (Colin Hubbard/The Associated Press)

Plenty of “what-if” scenarios predated the Twins’ decision last week to trade 10 players from the major league roster and do a hard reset of their trajectory.

What might have happened if Pablo Lopez hadn’t been injured in early June? The Twins were 34-27 when he went down, and paired with Bailey Ober’s awful month (and injured list stint) a Twins strength turned into a weakness.

How might things have played out differently if Carlos Correa and Royce Lewis — plus other hitters, albeit to a lesser extent — hadn’t been terrible for so much of the year?

What if the Twins, who were 13-17 in one-run games before the trade deadline, had instead gone 17-13 in those games?

Would most of their bullpen and some of their other core players still be here, trying to make a postseason push?

Those are all logical points in hindsight. Here’s one that’s slightly more preposterous when considering the Twins’ “sliding doors” alternate realities this year:

What if a 22-year-old rookie who has played just eight games had been available all year?

Would a healthy Luke Keaschall have made enough of a difference to keep the big sell-off from happening?

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Keaschall made his return Tuesday after missing more than three months with a fractured forearm, bashing a two-run homer in a 6-3 win as I talked about on Wednesday’s Daily Delivery podcast.

Here are some points to consider as we dive into 10 things to know today:

  • Keaschall, whose primary position in the field figures to be second base, has been terrific in those eight games. He jump-started the Twins’ offense after his April call-up, and he ignited them again Tuesday. He has pop, can steal bases and carries himself with confidence.
    • The Twins have had infield woes all season. Their second basemen rank No. 25 in MLB with a collective wins above replacement of minus-1.2. Their shortstops (hello, Correa) are dead last at minus-1.6. Their third basemen are No. 27 at minus-1.4.
      • The last six non-pitcher MLB Rookies of the Year all finished with a WAR of at least 4.0. Keaschall’s WAR in just eight games this year is 0.5. If he had played at the level of a top rookie and stayed healthy since his call-up, it’s conceivable that he would have added two or three wins to the Twins’ record.
        • Would that have been enough to keep them from trading away almost half their roster? That’s a stretch, though it is possible. It is important to remember that the Twins’ 13-game winning streak in May happened while Keaschall was out. And as much as he looks like he belongs, Keaschall has still barely played in the majors.
          • Zebby Matthews has gone bad-good-bad-good in his four starts since returning from injury. Tuesday was good (five innings, one run) but he needs to establish more consistency during the last two months if the Twins are going to trust him in 2026.
            • Just who will be in the starting rotation next year? La Velle E. Neal III and I will talk about that and more on Thursday’s Daily Delivery podcast.
              • On Wednesday, Andrew Krammer joined me to talk about the Vikings and a very big two weeks for J.J. McCarthy.
                • Jordan Addison received his anticipated three-game suspension on Tuesday. How will the Vikings fare without him? Well, they did go 2-0 early last year against Houston and San Francisco while he recovered from a Week 1 ankle injury.
                  • I find it endearing that Justin Jefferson has been living in a modest townhouse for the last five years, even if he is selling it now.
                    • DiJonai Carrington made a huge impact for the Lynx in her debut Tuesday, scoring 13 points and making several big defensive plays in a 91-87 win over Seattle.
                      about the writer

                      about the writer

                      Michael Rand

                      Columnist / Reporter

                      Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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