With November fast approaching, here's a recurring question that can't easily be dismissed as alarmist fretting or grim humor: What if President Donald Trump loses his bid for re-election but refuses to concede and instead clings to power? House Speaker Nancy Pelosi expressed this concern last year, saying "we have to inoculate against that." So did Trump's prison-bound former lawyer Michael Cohen. Testifying before Congress, Cohen said, "I fear that if he loses the election in 2020, that there will never be a peaceful transition of power." Even Joe Biden, Trump's Democratic rival, doesn't discount the possibility that Trump would make himself difficult to dislodge, but he suggested that others in government would get the job done: "I promise you, I'm absolutely convinced that they will escort him from the White House with great dispatch."
If Trump does try to hang on to a presidency he's lost, however, he can't actually do very much all by himself. Running the executive branch requires help. Thankfully, there are laws that stop others from using the authorities of the executive branch on behalf of anyone other than the legitimate president. If William Barr, for example, tried to exercise the powers of the attorney general after a Trump loss, he could be subject to criminal prosecution.
The circumstances matter. If Trump legitimately wins on Election Day, he wins — so be it. And if he loses, well, American tradition calls for a peaceful transfer of power to one's successor. But given Trump's rampant tradition-busting, there's more than a little reason to worry that he'll continue to reassert baseless claims that there was election fraud via mail-in ballots or foreign election interference favoring the Democrats, even after he has failed to persuade lawfully constituted authorities of such fantasies. Whatever Trump's excuse, it would require little imagination to suppose that he would claim some need to retain power at least long enough to investigate whatever election irregularity he's claiming, such that, come Jan. 20, 2021, he and Biden would be advancing competing claims to be America's legitimate president.
But while there's a reasonable fear that Trump could take such an appalling and dangerous step, any such effort would have a serious vulnerability. A president cannot run the executive branch alone. We'd like to think that, even if Trump himself refuses to face the music, officials throughout his administration would not follow his lead. And if they were to waver in their commitment to our constitutionally prescribed methods for transferring power, we'd hope they'd be encouraged to do the right thing by virtue of the fact that there are federal statutes that make it unlawful for others to exercise executive branch authorities on behalf of someone who's not actually the president.
For example, it's a crime to pretend to be an officer or employee of the United States when one isn't. A federal statute reads: "Whoever falsely assumes or pretends to be an officer or employee acting under the authority of the United States or any department, agency or officer thereof, and acts as such, or in such pretended character demands or obtains any money, paper, document, or thing of value, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than three years, or both."
Note that the first offense defined by the law involves simply falsely assuming or pretending to be a U.S. officer or employee — there's no demand for money required. So, imagine an outgoing Cabinet member, such as a secretary of defense or homeland security, who's been fired by a legitimate president immediately upon being sworn in on Jan. 20. That outgoing Cabinet member would violate this criminal prohibition if he or she were still to purport to exercise executive branch authority; for example, if the ex-secretary of defense ordered a military operation or ex-homeland security secretary issued an immigration edict, powers that no longer belong to officials ousted from the executive branch.
This would be an extraordinarily risky thing for any outgoing Cabinet official to do — even if they believed the certified election results were wrong. If the outgoing attorney general agreed with the fired Cabinet official, that attorney general would have legitimate authority over federal criminal prosecution only until Jan. 20. After that date, any attempts by the outgoing Cabinet member to exercise official authority would risk criminal prosecution and sentencing by the U.S. attorney for the District of Columbia appointed by President Biden with the new Senate's advice and consent — or by an interim U.S. attorney appointed by Biden before the new Senate could give its consent. Who'd take such a risk?
There are also laws specific to the military that demand obedience to the one and only legitimate president. Under one provision, a chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff executing an order given by someone who's not the lawful president could be deemed to have "fail[ed] to do his utmost to prevent and suppress a mutiny or sedition being committed in his presence." That same provision criminalizes even attempting mutiny or sedition. Moreover, another statutory provision criminalizes soliciting or advising the commission of mutiny or sedition.