Thursday Future Radar (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
A Wonderfully Sloppy Pattern. Scattered showers and T-storms will be with us from today into Saturday night, followed by drying conditions Sunday into Tuesday as a stronger push of Canadian air arrives.
NOAA NDFD Temperatures for MSP (weatherbell.com/The Minnesota Star Tribune)
ECMWF Temperatures for MSP (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Warm-ish. Probably not uncomfortably hot by the second week of September, but generally 80s, a few degrees above average, as the core of the heat remains south of Minnesota. Longer nights are brewing up cooler air - it won't be long before a couple of real cold fronts sail southward out of Canada.
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Fires Burn Through Minnesota Like A 'Freight Train': Nexus Media has headlines and links that hit way too close to home: "The Greenwood Fire barreled through northern Minnesota forests like a "freight train" Monday, doubling in size and burning so fiercely it created its own weather. "Once it starts rolling," incident commander Brian Pisareck told reporters Monday night, "it starts to build up steam and feed off itself." The intense heat from the fire, which had burned nearly 20,000 acres as of Tuesday evening, created pyrocumulus clouds (a.k.a. "fire clouds") towering an estimated 10,000 to 12,000 feet into the atmosphere. Severe and exceptional drought conditions across Minnesota, the Northern Plains, and Western U.S., made worse by climate change, have set the stage for the massive conflagration, one of 13 within Superior National Forest, including four new fires on Monday alone. Those fires, and specifically the John Elk and Whelp Fires have forced the closure and evacuation of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness." (Greenwood Fire: New York Times $, Star Tribune, Duluth News Tribune, MPR, KSTP5, KBJR6, KMSP9, KARE11; Drought: New York Times $; BWCAW: Duluth News Tribune, Star Tribune, E&E $, Duluth News Tribune, AP, MPR; Climate Signals background: Drought, Wildfires).
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Vehicles in a stream on Aug. 22 in Waverly, Tenn. (Mark Humphrey/AP/The Minnesota Star Tribune)
On Saturday a Catastrophic Flash Flood Unfolded in Tennessee. Here's How it Happened. Capital Weather Gang has a very good overview - here's an excerpt: "...Radars estimated that 21 inches of rain fell over the community in a single day; nine inches fell in just three hours. A rain gauge measured 17 inches of rain in 24 hours, which will set a new daily record for the state if confirmed. "[T]he chance of getting over 17 inches of rain in 24 hours in any year at Waverly, TN is much more rare than 1 in 1,000," wrote Geoffrey Bonnin, a hydrologist retired from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), in a Facebook message to the Capital Weather Gang. He said that amount of rain is so rare that NOAA doesn't have sufficient historical data to quantify it any further..."
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)
"Henri" Drenches Northeast; Death Toll at 21 in Catastrophic Tennessee Flash Flood Yale Climate Connections has a good overview of a deadly storm: "...As recently as the 1970s, flash floods in the United States sometimes resulted in 100 or more deaths. More recently, with heightened awareness of flash flood risks and improved communication of flash flood warnings, death tolls have tended to be much smaller. It appears the Tennessee disaster is the nation's deadliest localized flash flood in decades. A flash flood on October 18, 1998, killed 31 people in San Marcos, Texas. Flash floods are typically driven by rapid water rises in small channels as a result of persistent thunderstorm rains. They are distinct from broader-scale river flooding and from coastal storm-surge flooding during hurricanes. Some larger-scale flooding events, such as the one that killed 27 people across Tennessee on May 1-3, 2010, include both flash and river flooding, as did the deadly inland floods associated with such tropical cyclones as Floyd (1999), Allison (2001), and Harvey (2017)...."
The Quarry at La Quinta (California) (Paul Douglas (caddy)/The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Playing Golf Might Help You Live Longer. You might want to forward this CNN story to your spouse or better half; here's a clip: "...A 2009 Swedish study suggests golfers may live longer than nongolfers — as much as five extra years. Playing at least once a month may also lower older adult's risk of early death. There are several physical health benefits to routinely playing golf, according to Dr. Jacquelyn Turner, an assistant professor at the Morehouse School of Medicine. A golfer herself, she says golfing can burn up to 2,000 calories walking 18 holes, the equivalent of five miles, depending on the course. Burning so many calories "gives you a lot of aerobic exercise that can decrease a lot of comorbidities such as diabetes, high blood pressure, and high cholesterol," Dr. Turner says. She also points out other benefits of golf including higher HDL levels — "good" cholesterol — and stronger core muscles, which are especially important to prevent falls later in life. Being outside in the sun also helps with vitamin D exposure..."