RandBall: The unusual pressure facing Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy

He’s 22. He’s never thrown a pass in a regular-season game. He inherited a 14-win team with Super Bowl aspirations. That’s a lot for J.J. McCarthy, as Michael Rand writes in today’s 10 things to know.

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The Minnesota Star Tribune
July 25, 2025 at 4:21PM
The Minnesota Vikings aspire to be great, and quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) holds the key to that. (Carlos Gonzalez/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

The Vikings won 14 games last season, but this year they are predicted to win somewhere around 8.5.

There isn’t just one reason for that dip, of course. The Vikings’ schedule this season figures to be more difficult than it was a year ago. And there is naturally regression baked in when a team has as much success as the Vikings did a year ago in one-score games.

But if you want to point to one player, he’s standing front and center both literally and figuratively.

You can’t have a conversation about expectations for the Vikings without acknowledging all that is being asked of quarterback J.J. McCarthy.

Conventional wisdom might be to look at all the talent around McCarthy — a revamped offensive line, a greater dedication to the running game, a ferocious front seven and the best receiver in football, just to name some of the most notable strengths — and conclude that he won’t have to do much more beyond managing games to be an asset this season.

That might be true, but these Vikings do not aspire to merely be good. They aspire to be great, and McCarthy holds the key to that.

It’s an unusual level of pressure for a young quarterback, as Ben Goessling and I talked about on Friday’s Daily Delivery podcast.

Consider these factors, which make up the start of 10 things you should know today:

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  • Most young quarterbacks who are high draft picks come into rebuilding situations. The Vikings are on the opposite end of that spectrum. So even though McCarthy has a ton of talent around him that should help his progression, he will be expected to pull his weight immediately.
    • Still just 22, McCarthy could very well be the youngest starting QB in the NFL this season even though he’s in his second season.
      • He is being handed the keys to the starting job even though he missed all of last season with a knee injury and has never thrown a pass in a regular-season NFL game. And even though the Vikings explored other candidates who would either be potential or likely starters for 2025 (Sam Darnold, Daniel Jones and Aaron Rodgers), they ultimately landed on McCarthy and a true backup, Sam Howell. ESPN’s Bill Barnwell argued recently that McCarthy needs to prove himself this year in order to have a similar arrangement in 2026.
        • McCarthy has a great support system with head coach Kevin O’Connell and the rest of the offensive staff. But as Goessling and I talked about, O’Connell will push McCarthy to make complex decisions instead of just simple ones. The right read in O’Connell’s offense is often a chunk play designed to gain a lot of yards, not the safest play.
          • Having a young quarterback on an inexpensive contract is a cheat code in the NFL. But it only works if the QB provides above-average play. The Vikings have a Super Bowl window for at least the next three years. McCarthy’s play will determine just how open it is.
            • Perhaps the best Vikings parallel for McCarthy’s situation came a quarter-century ago. Daunte Culpepper, the No. 11 pick in the 1999 draft, took over a Super Bowl-caliber team in his second year in the league in 2000. The Vikings made it all the way to the NFC title game, though they could not muster 42 unanswered points in a loss to the Giants.
              • There is not a clear path for the Twins as they approach the trade deadline. Jim Souhan argues that the current squad should get a chance to make a run, which is a reasonable take even if it is an unlikely proposition.
                • It’s a shame the Twins haven’t been better lately because the Tigers are suddenly vulnerable after losing 10 of their last 11 games.
                  • I’m still not quite sure what this executive order is designed to do, but that only adds to the uncertainty around college sports.
                    • Ricky Rubio reportedly will play next season in Spain.
                      about the writer

                      about the writer

                      Michael Rand

                      Columnist / Reporter

                      Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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